NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	3.8 [1050]		MVP	Iman Shumpert (CLE): +18.3%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	1.2 [596]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -9.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.05	-0.04	11	73%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	5	90%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	22	55%	0.13	4	-0.08	11	73%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.02	-0.07	13	39%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	9	33%	-0.08

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.04	8	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.03	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	16	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.5	29.6	18.8	27.1	3.5	30.4	142.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.0%

CLE +2.0%

CLE +14.2%

ATL -9.7%

ATL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	18.2	13.9	15.1	103.3	93.2	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		108.7	106.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		101.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	15.7	17.1	22.4	18.2
ATL	14.6	15.0	14.2	11.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.12	27	-15	42	17.7	19.3	-1.55	14.1	13.6	0.49
Tristan Thompson	79	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-9	30	17.7	20.9	-3.17	14.5	10.5	3.99
LeBron James	74	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-8	28	17.4	21.5	-4.07	14.3	12.2	2.15
Matthew Dellavedova	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	3	6	18.7	16.3	2.39	14.0	13.9	0.06
Timofey Mozgov	50	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	10	-8	17.0	19.6	-2.67	13.6	14.4	-0.79
James Jones	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	18	-24	20.2	16.6	3.59	13.8	14.1	-0.31
J.R. Smith	59	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	15	-18	19.1	16.4	2.66	13.8	14.3	-0.54
Shawn Marion	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	18	-24	18.6	18.1	0.53	12.6	14.2	-1.57
Joe Harris	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	18.0	18.2	-0.17	7.0	14.3	-7.27

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pero Antic	21	24	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.39	15	-27	42	11.3	14.8	-3.43	22.1	16.7	5.38
Mike Muscala	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	9.0	14.4	-5.44	22.4	17.7	4.75
John Jenkins	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	9.0	14.4	-5.44	22.4	17.7	4.75
Shelvin Mack	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-15	18	11.7	14.7	-2.98	22.3	16.9	5.42
Paul Millsap	49	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-8	4	14.0	13.9	0.04	17.1	19.8	-2.73
Kent Bazemore	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	0	-12	14.4	13.8	0.59	21.3	17.3	4.02
DeMarre Carroll	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-4	-4	14.4	12.5	1.92	16.5	22.8	-6.34
Jeff Teague	59	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-3	-6	14.1	13.7	0.33	16.9	21.1	-4.20
Dennis Schroder	20	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	0	-12	16.0	13.3	2.73	20.8	17.4	3.44
Mike Scott	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	13.4	14.7	-1.30	19.6	16.6	2.96
Kyle Korver	60	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.6	12.5	2.12	16.7	21.4	-4.66
Al Horford	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.34	-27	15	-42	15.4	11.3	4.10	16.3	21.1	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
BOS 104, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
CHI 95, LAC 75	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%