NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	3.9 [1039]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +14.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	75		Comeback	1.2 [890]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -18.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	17	62%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Gray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	3	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	41%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	15	44%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.03	0.07	13	70%	0.06	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	10	14%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Al Thornton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	17	29%	-0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.03	0.09	16	51%	-0.07	6	-0.11	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	33.5	15.8	24.1	1.5	28.2	129.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.8%

CHI +5.8%

CHI +11.4%

LAC -7.6%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.5	103.3	83.3	106.4
season	14.8	15.7		106.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	13.9	14.5	18.5	15.7
LAC	14.3	15.5	19.4	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	64	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.26	28	-8	36	15.8	15.4	0.40	16.9	13.9	3.07
Luol Deng	70	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-6	32	15.8	15.3	0.57	16.1	15.5	0.65
Joakim Noah	50	47	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.23	25	-5	30	15.7	15.7	-0.06	17.6	14.2	3.41
Tyrus Thomas	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	0	20	15.5	16.1	-0.64	16.8	14.3	2.52
Ben Gordon	64	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	4	12	15.3	16.5	-1.19	17.1	13.3	3.81
Andres Nocioni	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	20	-20	15.5	15.8	-0.32	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Kirk Hinrich	58	58	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	17	-14	16.0	15.2	0.75	14.5	18.5	-3.97
Lindsey Hunter	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	18.0	15.6	2.40	8.6	16.4	-7.78
Cedric Simmons	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	18.0	15.6	2.40	8.6	16.4	-7.78
Aaron Gray	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	26	-32	15.1	15.9	-0.76	14.5	16.3	-1.86
Thabo Sefolosha	40	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	26	-32	15.8	15.6	0.17	14.8	16.8	-2.02

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	33	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-21	22	15.1	16.5	-1.40	15.9	15.6	0.25
Baron Davis	42	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-18	16	13.6	18.0	-4.40	16.1	15.3	0.82
Ricky Davis	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-17	14	14.7	16.9	-2.20	16.4	15.1	1.32
Marcus Camby	41	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-20	20	15.0	16.7	-1.65	15.8	15.6	0.17
Al Thornton	60	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-2	-16	17.2	13.5	3.72	15.2	16.8	-1.62
DeAndre Jordan	47	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	-4	-12	17.0	14.8	2.21	15.9	15.6	0.31
Fred Jones	66	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	3	-26	17.1	12.7	4.47	15.1	17.4	-2.25
Eric Gordon	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	-3	-14	15.7	17.4	-1.68	16.0	14.3	1.68
Brian Skinner	44	46	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.07	-22	2	-24	16.6	15.3	1.31	15.4	16.0	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 109, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 103, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%