NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	109		Excitement	4.2 [992]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOK): +8.5%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.4 [426]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -9.6%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	63%	0.17	5	-0.08	17	82%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	6	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David West	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	15	61%	0.12	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	1	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	14	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.05	7	72%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	59%	0.03	4	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.09	12	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	12	52%	0.01	6	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	36.2	17.5	25.7	2.0	26.2	135.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +38.1%

NOK +12.3%

NYK -3.2%

NOK +4.9%

NYK -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	NYK	NBA	NOK	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.6	114.7	104.3	104.4
season	16.3	15.7		101.2	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.4	12.1	15.5	18.5	15.0
NYK	16.2	16.2	16.5	12.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	13.6	19.2	-5.59	15.7	14.8	0.92
David West	66	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-2	15	14.4	16.6	-2.22	15.5	15.3	0.18
Desmond Mason	57	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-3	17	13.3	17.7	-4.40	16.9	13.2	3.66
Chris Andersen	43	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	0	11	16.6	13.8	2.81	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Speedy Claxton	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	4	3	16.9	13.0	3.87	14.1	17.0	-2.90
P.J. Brown	74	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	11	-11	15.0	15.3	-0.31	15.6	14.7	0.93
Kirk Snyder	60	59	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	4	3	14.1	16.6	-2.42	17.0	12.7	4.29
Rasual Butler	40	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	12	-13	16.8	13.7	3.08	13.0	17.1	-4.09
J.R. Smith	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	20.9	14.3	6.64	11.1	16.0	-4.85
Jackson Vroman	5	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	17.6	14.9	2.70	15.7	15.4	0.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	12	11	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-16	21	17.6	15.1	2.46	9.8	15.7	-5.91
Qyntel Woods	52	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-15	19	14.9	16.0	-1.11	15.1	15.0	0.03
Nate Robinson	31	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-11	11	13.8	16.2	-2.43	17.7	13.6	4.07
Quentin Richardson	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	17.2	14.3	2.85	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Trevor Ariza	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	14.7	16.3	-1.54	14.2	16.1	-1.97
David Lee	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	16.9	14.7	2.23	15.1	15.0	0.03
Malik Rose	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	11.6	16.8	-5.17	15.6	14.8	0.78
Eddy Curry	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.9	14.0	2.96	16.4	13.7	2.65
Maurice Taylor	39	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	17.4	14.1	3.29	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Channing Frye	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	14.3	18.2	-3.96	15.3	14.5	0.72
Jamal Crawford	79	78	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.06	-24	13	-37	15.5	15.3	0.12	14.9	15.8	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHI 95, LAC 75	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%