NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	3.6 [1100]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): +17.2%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	1.4 [703]		LVP	Brandon Knight (DET): -8.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	10	72%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.15	-0.00	0.10	11	95%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	7	41%	0.03	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	24.3	16.4	23.1	1.8	26.0	116.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.4%

MIN +0.5%

MIN +9.7%

DET -2.4%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	NBA	MIN	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.4	118.0	92.1	104.1
season	15.6	15.7		101.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	14.9		106.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.2	16.2	13.8	19.0	16.6
DET	14.8	15.8	18.1	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	56	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.31	28	-5	33	15.7	18.1	-2.41	16.0	15.4	0.67
Ricky Rubio	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.31	26	-3	29	15.8	17.6	-1.71	16.0	15.4	0.59
Luke Ridnour	48	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	7	9	16.5	16.6	-0.07	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Andrei Kirilenko	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.30	23	0	23	15.3	17.9	-2.64	16.2	15.3	0.85
Dante Cunningham	50	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	14	-5	17.5	15.4	2.02	15.4	16.3	-0.97
Derrick Williams	33	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	5	13	15.1	17.5	-2.40	16.6	15.3	1.39
Chase Budinger	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	11	1	17.0	16.2	0.87	16.2	15.4	0.76
Alexey Shved	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	26	-29	17.6	15.8	1.71	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Jose Juan Barea	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	26	-29	17.6	15.8	1.71	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Mickael Gelabale	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	17.1	16.5	0.62	13.5	16.0	-2.45
Chris Johnson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	17.5	16.5	0.99	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Greg Stiemsma	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	28	-33	18.1	15.7	2.41	15.4	16.0	-0.67

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viacheslav Kravtsov	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	14.3	16.2	-1.90	19.0	15.8	3.28
Kim English	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	14.3	16.2	-1.90	19.0	15.8	3.28
Charlie Villanueva	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.18	-8	-15	7	18.0	14.9	3.13	15.0	17.2	-2.13
Khris Middleton	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-13	3	15.2	16.3	-1.13	17.6	15.6	2.00
Rodney Stuckey	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-11	-1	16.6	15.1	1.48	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Jonas Jerebko	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-17	11	14.0	16.6	-2.60	18.6	15.6	2.99
Jason Maxiell	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-14	5	16.0	15.5	0.46	15.9	17.3	-1.38
Kyle Singler	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-13	3	15.6	16.1	-0.54	16.4	16.9	-0.55
Jose Calderon	62	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.31	-26	3	-29	16.5	14.2	2.25	15.3	19.2	-3.91
Brandon Knight	49	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-7	-9	15.6	16.0	-0.34	16.4	16.8	-0.37
Greg Monroe	54	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.33	-28	5	-33	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.8	17.8	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 109, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 96, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIA 114, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%