NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	5.4 [760]		MVP	Landry Fields (NYK): +15.3%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.2 [532]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -18.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	18	60%	0.19	4	-0.07	11	82%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	18	55%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	6	35%	-0.04	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	19	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	15	52%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	16	44%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.3	16.5	29.5	2.4	30.2	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.2%

HOU +7.2%

HOU +16.6%

NYK -11.9%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	15.5	103.0	96.0	105.7
season	15.2	14.3		109.5	108.6
opponent	15.5	14.9		108.4	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	13.0	14.1	16.4	14.7
NYK	14.2	15.9	14.7	11.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	90	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	0	8	14.1	19.4	-5.24	14.4	10.5	3.94
Charles Hayes	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-1	10	14.7	14.7	0.04	13.9	14.1	-0.28
Jordan Hill	35	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-4	16	13.4	15.4	-2.02	14.7	13.6	1.07
Courtney Lee	45	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	-1	10	14.8	14.6	0.23	13.7	14.2	-0.46
Ish Smith	26	28	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	1	6	13.6	15.1	-1.45	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Kyle Lowry	75	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	7	-6	15.1	13.6	1.45	14.1	13.6	0.49
Luis Scola	73	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	8	-8	15.1	13.7	1.30	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Shane Battier	69	68	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	9	-10	15.3	13.3	2.07	13.4	15.1	-1.67
Brad Miller	27	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	13	-18	15.4	14.4	0.97	13.8	14.0	-0.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	23	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	13.8	14.0	-0.17	15.8	14.4	1.35
Danilo Gallinari	77	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-7	6	13.4	15.7	-2.31	14.7	14.7	0.05
Landry Fields	65	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-7	6	13.7	14.4	-0.63	15.1	13.9	1.22
Wilson Chandler	76	80	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.29	0	-8	8	14.2	13.3	0.82	14.7	14.6	0.09
Raymond Felton	82	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-7	6	13.6	15.8	-2.22	14.9	13.6	1.27
Roger Mason Jr.	24	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	3	-14	14.8	13.7	1.15	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Timofey Mozgov	37	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	13.9	14.0	-0.02	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-5	2	14.0	13.8	0.17	14.4	15.8	-1.35
Toney Douglas	39	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	15.3	13.1	2.21	14.1	15.1	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, HOU 78	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DEN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
IND 119, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.3,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%