NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	105		Excitement	5.1 [783]		MVP	Caron Butler (LAC): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.4 [130]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -19.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	8	71%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.04
Ryan Anderson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.03	14	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	9	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Brian Roberts	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.07	13	83%	0.20	8	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	10	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.07	0.04	24	67%	0.28	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	4	73%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	14	71%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	9	19%	-0.08	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.9	15.0	29.2	2.4	38.4	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +22.2%

NOH +17.7%

NOH +0.3%

NOH +5.6%

NOH +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.4	119.3	114.0	104.1
season	16.3	15.6		103.9	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		102.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.3	17.2	18.3	15.7	16.6
LAC	19.0	16.2	16.0	14.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	50	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-3	13	17.0	16.1	0.94	16.9	16.0	0.86
Austin Rivers	49	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	17.2	15.8	1.42	16.4	16.6	-0.28
Darius Miller	22	22	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-8	23	18.0	16.1	1.91	17.5	16.1	1.36
Lance Thomas	16	16	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-7	21	18.3	16.2	2.08	18.1	16.1	2.01
Brian Roberts	19	18	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-3	13	18.1	16.2	1.90	17.4	16.2	1.21
Greivis Vasquez	69	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	10	-13	16.2	18.1	-1.90	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	64	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	15	-23	16.1	18.0	-1.91	16.1	17.5	-1.36
Ryan Anderson	65	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.26	-10	17	-27	16.6	16.5	0.12	15.8	18.5	-2.72
Roger Mason Jr.	44	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	15.1	18.1	-3.00	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Robin Lopez	40	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	8	-9	16.2	16.9	-0.67	16.9	16.1	0.82

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	32	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-14	21	16.6	16.4	0.22	16.5	16.7	-0.21
DeAndre Jordan	28	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-11	15	17.5	16.0	1.55	15.7	17.1	-1.33
Ryan Hollins	13	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	3	-13	18.6	16.1	2.51	19.1	16.2	2.86
Eric Bledsoe	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.5	17.2	-1.72	16.7	16.5	0.23
Lamar Odom	33	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-4	1	16.9	16.2	0.73	17.6	16.0	1.59
Blake Griffin	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.5	1.37	16.4	17.2	-0.87
Caron Butler	62	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	16.4	16.7	-0.36	16.1	18.0	-1.85
Chris Paul	69	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	16.6	16.1	0.46	16.0	19.6	-3.60
Matt Barnes	43	41	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.16	-13	6	-19	15.7	17.2	-1.49	18.1	15.3	2.78
Jamal Crawford	50	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	2	-11	15.9	17.4	-1.50	16.5	16.7	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	94.9%
MEM 110, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0	94.3%
SAS 108, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%