NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	4.8 [839]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +13.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	79		Comeback	1.1 [355]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -17.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.05	-0.05	23	53%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	40%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	19	64%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	62%	0.01	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	18	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	21	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	14	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	14	21%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	28.1	17.8	24.2	2.4	34.5	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.2%

NYK +0.3%

NYK +25.7%

MIN -12.0%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	17.8	14.8	15.5	100.0	88.8	100.9
season	16.4	15.0		99.2	102.9
opponent	15.9	16.1		101.7	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	20.0	17.3	16.5	17.5	17.8
MIN	14.3	14.7	16.2	13.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	67	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	-1	11	17.1	20.0	-2.97	15.0	13.8	1.19
Latrell Sprewell	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	18.2	15.5	2.63	15.0	13.2	1.81
Larry Johnson	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	18.6	14.4	4.18	15.2	13.3	1.88
Luc Longley	34	35	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-3	15	15.0	19.6	-4.58	15.1	14.5	0.61
Erick Strickland	34	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-1	11	15.6	19.1	-3.53	15.2	14.5	0.66
Allan Houston	72	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	10	-11	18.4	14.9	3.48	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Kurt Thomas	70	70	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	13	-17	18.4	15.3	3.08	14.4	16.3	-1.96
Travis Knight	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	12.0	17.9	-5.85	9.5	14.9	-5.40
Glen Rice	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	20.7	17.1	3.55	13.1	15.1	-2.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	24	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-16	23	13.2	15.4	-2.20	20.0	16.8	3.20
Sam Jacobson	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	18.7	14.6	4.16	10.3	18.0	-7.71
Dean Garrett	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-10	11	14.8	14.8	0.02	18.7	17.1	1.68
Sam Mitchell	9	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-7	5	17.4	14.5	2.97	14.8	18.2	-3.37
Terrell Brandon	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-9	9	14.6	15.6	-0.99	18.4	14.8	3.57
LaPhonso Ellis	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	14.3	15.2	-0.89	17.2	18.3	-1.06
Kevin Garnett	76	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	14.8	14.5	0.37	18.5	13.2	5.35
William Avery	23	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	3	-15	16.3	14.2	2.06	14.7	18.8	-4.08
Wally Szczerbiak	72	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	14.2	17.2	-2.97	18.5	14.8	3.71
Rasho Nesterovic	23	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	4	-17	15.4	14.5	0.89	14.5	18.8	-4.28
Anthony Peeler	61	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.18	-13	4	-17	15.0	14.2	0.87	17.2	19.0	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 105, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	94.9%
UTA 93, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
TOR 98, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%