NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	5.1 [783]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +19.0%
Houston Rockets	82		Comeback	1.4 [577]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (HOU): -21.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.02	12	72%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.05	-0.04	7	69%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	1	125%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	20	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	12	62%	0.07	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.22	0.01	0.11	7	110%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	28%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	15	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	21	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	0.01	15	23%	-0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	32.5	19.7	27.6	3.6	33.3	144.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +58.4%

HOU -4.9%

HOU -2.4%

HOU -3.2%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.7	17.2	15.4	113.4	98.8	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		111.2	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	16.8	18.5	17.9	17.7
HOU	16.6	16.7	18.4	17.2	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	41	42	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-8	27	18.4	17.0	1.46	18.0	16.4	1.56
Kyle Korver	40	41	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-6	23	18.9	16.6	2.28	18.9	15.5	3.40
Deron Williams	74	75	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	6	-1	17.9	16.0	1.89	17.1	18.1	-1.02
Andrei Kirilenko	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	9	-7	17.6	18.2	-0.55	17.0	18.5	-1.58
Mehmet Okur	54	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	17.8	17.5	0.26	17.4	16.7	0.69
Paul Millsap	16	17	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	3	5	18.1	17.6	0.52	19.9	16.5	3.44
Ronnie Price	8	8	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	5	1	16.0	17.9	-1.89	18.1	17.1	1.02
Carlos Boozer	64	64	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	12	-13	17.1	19.7	-2.58	16.2	20.4	-4.17
Ronnie Brewer	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	14	-17	17.0	18.4	-1.38	16.2	18.2	-1.99
CJ Miles	2	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	14	-17	8.5	17.9	-9.44	3.0	17.7	-14.74

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-14	17	17.5	16.8	0.75	16.9	18.7	-1.81
Loren Woods	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	11.5	17.3	-5.85	21.0	17.6	3.37
Michael Harris	8	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-9	7	16.0	17.3	-1.33	16.2	17.8	-1.66
Luther Head	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	13.6	17.9	-4.28	18.9	17.5	1.39
Luis Scola	65	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-11	11	16.8	18.6	-1.72	17.2	19.7	-2.46
Steve Novak	11	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	17.4	17.2	0.18	19.8	17.4	2.44
Bobby Jackson	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	18.1	15.4	2.61	17.3	18.7	-1.40
Aaron Brooks	27	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	15.4	18.1	-2.61	18.7	17.3	1.40
Shane Battier	70	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	17.0	18.4	-1.40	18.0	15.8	2.17
Tracy McGrady	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	17.4	16.0	1.39	17.1	21.5	-4.44
Carl Landry	18	17	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	1	-13	19.6	16.6	3.00	19.0	17.4	1.63
Charles Hayes	25	23	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	6	-23	18.7	16.6	2.17	19.3	17.1	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 116, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHX 99, GSW 82	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DAL 103, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%