NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	5.4 [722]		MVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): +8.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.4 [854]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (LAC): -10.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	21	52%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.04	13	71%	0.13	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	9	72%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	64%	0.07	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	9	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.8	26.2	16.4	28.6	2.6	28.2	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +26.3%

DAL +11.8%

LAC -13.5%

DAL +17.2%

DAL +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.5	118.4	104.5	100.9
season	15.2	16.1		104.6	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.6	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	15.8	17.0	16.9	15.8
LAC	16.2	18.5	18.1	15.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	16.2	15.0	1.22	17.5	16.3	1.25
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-6	23	15.6	16.5	-0.89	17.0	17.6	-0.62
Steve Nash	58	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	3	5	16.1	15.1	0.98	17.1	17.1	0.07
Shawn Bradley	38	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	3	5	16.9	14.9	1.96	17.8	16.5	1.35
Michael Finley	75	75	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	2	7	16.0	14.2	1.79	17.1	17.5	-0.41
Greg Buckner	60	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	9	-7	15.7	16.0	-0.35	16.6	18.3	-1.64
Juwan Howard	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	8	-5	15.4	16.5	-1.13	17.8	15.9	1.92
Eduardo Najera	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	8	-5	13.3	16.2	-2.85	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Donnell Harvey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	7.5	16.0	-8.49	7.5	17.3	-9.84
Obinna Ekezie	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	7.5	16.0	-8.49	7.5	17.3	-9.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	13	13	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-17	23	18.8	16.8	2.03	16.0	15.8	0.24
Jeff McInnis	55	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-14	17	16.7	17.7	-0.98	17.4	13.0	4.42
Quentin Richardson	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-12	13	16.4	17.5	-1.11	17.2	14.9	2.29
Corey Maggette	45	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	17.5	16.7	0.72	14.2	17.4	-3.17
Cherokee Parks	22	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.5	17.3	-0.76	15.8	15.8	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	2	-15	17.7	16.3	1.40	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Lamar Odom	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	17.4	16.0	1.36	16.6	12.0	4.58
Eric Piatkowski	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	16.8	17.8	-0.96	14.9	17.8	-2.93
Darius Miles	59	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	16.5	18.3	-1.73	16.3	14.9	1.41
Keyon Dooling	33	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	3	-17	17.7	16.7	0.98	13.0	17.4	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	94.8%
BOS 104, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%