NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	5.3 [756]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +32.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	98		Comeback	1.5 [269]		LVP	Norris Cole (NOP): -16.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.13	-0.01	13	79%	0.39	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
James Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	64%	0.05	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	15	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.02	0.06	6	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.02	7	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	0.07	21	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.05	13	42%	0.03	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	26.4	15.5	24.4	2.4	35.7	127.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.0%

BOS +6.4%

NOP -7.3%

BOS +20.5%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOP	NBA	BOS	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.1	109.5	102.1	104.2
season	14.3	15.8		103.1	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		106.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	16.5	14.3	12.2	14.7
NOP	14.2	16.3	16.2	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	75	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	1	4	14.5	15.7	-1.28	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Isaiah Thomas	56	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-3	12	14.1	15.7	-1.58	15.6	15.2	0.43
Jae Crowder	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	14.6	15.3	-0.77	15.6	14.7	0.90
Jonas Jerebko	35	34	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-5	16	14.5	14.8	-0.31	17.1	14.5	2.63
James Young	23	23	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-1	8	15.0	14.6	0.40	17.3	14.8	2.54
Evan Turner	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	7	-8	14.6	15.0	-0.40	14.7	17.7	-3.06
Kelly Olynyk	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	1	4	15.1	14.4	0.66	15.2	15.6	-0.48
Marcus Smart	69	70	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	16	-26	15.0	14.2	0.80	14.5	17.8	-3.28
Tyler Zeller	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	7	-8	16.4	14.1	2.33	15.9	15.2	0.66

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	44	44	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-8	10	14.7	16.0	-1.36	15.7	13.9	1.84
Eric Gordon	76	74	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-14	22	14.9	17.4	-2.57	14.8	14.5	0.33
Quincy Pondexter	63	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-14	22	14.9	16.5	-1.58	14.9	14.4	0.48
Alexis Ajinca	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	17.1	15.0	2.04	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	14.7	17.8	-3.12	14.5	15.8	-1.35
Anthony Davis	85	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.1	17.9	-2.81	14.8	14.6	0.18
Dante Cunningham	30	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	8	-22	17.6	14.4	3.13	15.1	14.6	0.58
Norris Cole	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	9	-24	16.9	14.0	2.92	14.9	14.6	0.31
Luke Babbitt	41	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	2	-10	16.0	15.0	0.93	13.3	15.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 119, VAN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHX 88, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	93.8%