NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	119		Excitement	5.8 [620]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +27.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	110		Comeback	1.4 [1107]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -14.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	11	85%	0.27	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Rick Fox	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	80%	0.19	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.04	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Mario Bennett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	6	30%	-0.05	1	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	22	49%	-0.01	4	-0.14	5	40%	-0.03

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	17	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	68%	0.18	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	18	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	28.3	18.4	23.2	2.5	33.7	134.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.0%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +11.6%

LAL +0.5%

VAN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	VAN	NBA	LAL	VAN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.6	126.6	115.8	102.5
season	14.8	15.1		110.0	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		109.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	14.2	15.0	15.9	15.1
VAN	17.2	14.6	16.3	13.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	64	64	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.02	22	-13	35	14.8	15.8	-0.95	16.7	12.5	4.27
Kobe Bryant	54	51	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	14.6	15.7	-1.10	14.4	16.5	-2.04
Shaquille O'Neal	64	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	1	7	15.2	15.0	0.17	16.0	13.7	2.33
Rick Fox	76	78	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	4	1	14.7	16.9	-2.26	15.6	14.4	1.15
Elden Campbell	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	15.4	14.8	0.58	14.6	16.0	-1.44
Derek Fisher	56	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	14	-19	16.1	13.6	2.49	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Corie Blount	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	22.7	14.6	8.06	9.8	15.7	-5.90
Eddie Jones	58	60	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	16	-23	15.7	14.1	1.59	15.0	16.0	-1.06
Mario Bennett	8	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	14	-19	12.6	15.3	-2.72	14.0	15.5	-1.50

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	49	46	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-15	21	15.8	14.9	0.86	15.9	14.4	1.56
Blue Edwards	39	40	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-15	21	13.3	16.8	-3.52	14.8	15.4	-0.55
Ivano Newbill	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	2.0	15.5	-13.50	33.0	14.7	18.27
Antonio Daniels	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	7.2	15.7	-8.46	24.6	14.6	10.02
Lee Mayberry	56	54	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	15.8	14.8	1.00	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-6	3	15.8	14.0	1.79	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Tony Massenburg	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	1	-11	14.8	15.5	-0.66	11.3	15.9	-4.58
Bryant Reeves	78	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	15.6	14.1	1.58	15.4	13.7	1.73
George Lynch	30	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	14.2	15.9	-1.64	15.8	14.8	1.03
Bobby Hurley	35	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	4	-17	15.6	15.2	0.43	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Sam Mack	66	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	15.7	14.5	1.26	16.2	12.8	3.40
Pete Chilcutt	31	33	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.08	-19	10	-29	16.5	14.8	1.72	13.1	16.2	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MEM 99, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%