NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	5.8 [624]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +12.6%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.4 [898]		LVP	Joe Smith (CHI): -19.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	72%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	10	61%	0.11	6	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	10	41%	0.04	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	11	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	23	57%	0.12	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	-0.10	15	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	13	27%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	12	17%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	29.4	15.7	27.0	1.8	28.3	125.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.9%

PHX +18.9%

CHI -19.5%

PHX +6.6%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	15.4	88.9	79.4	105.7
season	13.8	15.0		111.1	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.0	15.4	14.0	14.4	13.6
CHI	17.4	15.9	14.8	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-2	15	13.6	13.8	-0.22	15.8	15.7	0.10
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	0	11	14.1	12.2	1.88	16.2	14.2	1.95
Steve Nash	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	13.6	13.7	-0.14	15.5	16.6	-1.05
Shawn Marion	82	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	2	7	13.4	14.9	-1.49	15.2	18.5	-3.28
Boris Diaw	74	71	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	7	-3	13.4	14.5	-1.12	16.0	15.1	0.88
Raja Bell	83	81	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	14.0	11.7	2.34	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Marcus Banks	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	10	-9	13.7	13.6	0.14	16.6	15.5	1.05
Brian Skinner	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	8	-5	12.1	13.8	-1.75	16.8	15.6	1.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	46	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-14	17	15.6	15.9	-0.38	14.0	13.3	0.63
Aaron Gray	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-10	9	17.3	15.5	1.78	14.0	13.6	0.41
Kirk Hinrich	81	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	15.4	17.6	-2.23	14.5	9.6	4.90
Ben Wallace	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-8	5	16.0	15.4	0.58	14.2	12.7	1.48
Andres Nocioni	64	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-8	5	14.2	18.7	-4.49	13.7	13.5	0.14
Chris Duhon	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	15.7	16.0	-0.31	14.0	12.9	1.12
Thabo Sefolosha	49	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	4	-19	16.5	15.0	1.51	11.8	15.6	-3.80
Tyrus Thomas	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	15.7	15.8	-0.08	13.8	13.3	0.54
Joakim Noah	39	39	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	8	-27	17.7	14.4	3.27	11.9	14.8	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 110, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHA 109, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%