NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	108		Excitement	5.3 [770]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +17.1%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	1.5 [1050]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -14.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	9	89%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.03	-0.04	8	87%	0.16	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	4	80%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	17	68%	0.09	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	16	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	9	75%	0.08	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	83%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	23	40%	-0.00	3	-0.09	9	44%	-0.05
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.8	26.3	16.8	27.1	2.7	31.0	129.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.9%

SAS +9.9%

SAC -3.0%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.9	104.9	90.2	105.1
season	15.7	13.9		109.0	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.7		107.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.3	11.5	15.7	15.6	14.0
SAC	13.8	16.2	12.6	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	49	50	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.07	25	-9	34	13.5	14.4	-0.98	15.2	13.1	2.08
Patty Mills	42	41	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.02	22	-6	28	13.0	14.6	-1.62	14.3	14.0	0.25
Kyle Anderson	65	63	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.09	16	0	16	13.2	15.4	-2.24	14.4	13.7	0.65
David West	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-3	22	13.2	14.5	-1.37	14.4	13.9	0.53
Jonathon Simmons	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	8	0	11.9	14.9	-3.01	12.7	14.8	-2.08
Kawhi Leonard	59	58	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	12	-8	14.6	13.1	1.47	13.9	14.4	-0.55
Danny Green	60	59	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	15	-14	14.7	13.0	1.72	15.2	12.6	2.58
Tony Parker	64	64	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	14.7	12.8	1.83	14.3	13.8	0.56
Rasual Butler	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	15.3	13.9	1.39	9.3	14.3	-4.93
Ray McCallum	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	15.3	13.9	1.39	9.3	14.3	-4.93
Boban Marjanovic	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	15.3	13.9	1.39	9.3	14.3	-4.93
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	66	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	23	-30	14.8	12.5	2.33	14.1	14.1	0.05
Tim Duncan	27	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	24	-32	15.0	13.6	1.38	11.7	15.0	-3.31

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	36	36	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.05	13	-29	42	12.8	14.8	-1.98	15.0	13.4	1.61
Quincy Acy	48	50	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.08	13	-29	42	12.2	15.8	-3.61	15.6	12.5	3.07
James Anderson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.3	14.3	-4.93	15.3	13.9	1.39
Rudy Gay	75	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	14.2	13.8	0.46	14.7	11.9	2.83
Seth Curry	12	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-12	8	13.7	14.2	-0.42	13.5	14.1	-0.56
Omri Casspi	17	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-9	2	16.8	13.6	3.18	11.3	14.5	-3.16
Rajon Rondo	80	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-14	12	13.9	14.9	-1.01	14.1	13.7	0.42
DeMarcus Cousins	81	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-10	4	14.1	14.1	-0.03	14.4	12.3	2.07
Kosta Koufos	18	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-7	-2	14.9	13.9	1.00	11.8	14.4	-2.60
Marco Belinelli	34	35	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.03	-21	5	-26	15.3	13.5	1.76	12.4	14.8	-2.39
Willie Cauley-Stein	40	38	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.11	-24	8	-32	14.6	13.8	0.79	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Darren Collison	66	67	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	0.02	-29	13	-42	14.8	12.8	1.98	13.4	15.0	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 105, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	94.0%
NYK 88, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	93.9%
MIL 101, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.7%