NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	6.0 [589]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): +11.8%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.8 [367]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -20.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	13	56%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	72%	0.09	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Darvin Ham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.01	0.02	22	40%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	12	31%	-0.09	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	16	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	21	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	6	56%	0.01	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	34.0	15.8	29.2	1.7	28.0	135.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +12.2%

MIL +12.5%

MIL +17.8%

MIL +11.2%

ORL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.5	104.1	92.7	100.9
season	14.9	14.6		105.9	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.8		100.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	13.4	14.6	18.6	15.4
ORL	13.9	14.3	14.8	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	56	54	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-7	26	15.4	15.4	-0.06	16.1	12.3	3.83
Lindsey Hunter	62	58	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.02	21	-9	30	15.2	15.7	-0.44	15.9	12.2	3.64
Glenn Robinson	77	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-3	18	15.6	14.4	1.20	13.8	17.5	-3.69
Jason Caffey	40	39	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	2	8	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.8	13.5	2.24
Sam Cassell	71	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	4	4	14.9	16.8	-1.87	13.8	16.4	-2.63
Ray Allen	63	64	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	15	-18	16.4	13.5	2.88	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Scott Williams	54	55	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	12	-12	15.2	15.6	-0.36	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Rafer Alston	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	15.0	15.4	-0.41	0.0	14.4	-14.44
Darvin Ham	30	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	17	-22	15.6	15.3	0.33	12.0	15.5	-3.50
Mark Pope	31	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	17	-22	14.6	15.8	-1.16	15.7	13.9	1.80

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	34	34	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.03	11	-23	34	14.3	14.5	-0.22	15.9	15.1	0.78
Tracy McGrady	63	64	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-20	28	13.5	16.2	-2.70	16.4	13.5	2.91
Bo Outlaw	67	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-12	12	13.6	16.3	-2.63	15.7	14.7	0.97
Mike Miller	80	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-10	8	14.0	16.4	-2.40	15.5	15.1	0.34
Troy Hudson	78	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-7	2	13.6	18.1	-4.45	16.1	12.8	3.31
Don Reid	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-2	-8	17.4	13.7	3.70	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Monty Williams	18	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-1	-10	13.7	14.6	-0.88	14.3	15.7	-1.38
John Amaechi	38	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	0	-12	15.9	13.4	2.50	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Dee Brown	37	40	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.04	-18	6	-24	16.9	12.9	4.08	13.7	16.6	-2.94
Pat Garrity	47	47	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.03	-21	9	-30	14.9	14.0	0.94	15.1	15.7	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
DAL 133, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
VAN 107, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%