NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	133		Excitement	5.2 [766]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +24.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	1.3 [737]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -19.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.04	-0.07	15	59%	0.17	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.03	16	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.03	0.06	13	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	19	61%	0.17	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.07	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.25	0.04	0.05	19	82%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.05	-0.03	9	79%	0.22	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	11	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Harold Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	8	28%	-0.06	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.20	-0.05	-0.05	5	0%	-0.07	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	26.5	16.8	27.0	2.0	31.0	129.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +17.0%

DAL +13.1%

DAL +5.9%

DAL +15.4%

LAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.6	141.5	121.7	102.3
season	14.8	15.9		109.6	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.9	18.2	17.0	15.5	15.4
LAC	15.3	17.8	16.5	13.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	62	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	4	13	16.4	13.4	3.01	16.5	13.6	2.88
Dirk Nowitzki	91	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	3	15	15.2	20.3	-5.10	15.9	6.3	9.55
Tim Hardaway	46	46	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	1	19	15.8	15.0	0.76	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Juwan Howard	79	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	2	17	15.2	16.4	-1.20	15.7	14.9	0.77
Steve Nash	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	7	7	15.0	16.4	-1.42	14.9	17.3	-2.47
Adrian Griffin	66	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	12	-3	14.5	17.4	-2.90	16.1	14.3	1.86
Wang Zhi-zhi	7	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	16	-11	16.7	15.3	1.43	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Johnny Newman	39	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	15.3	15.5	-0.23	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Charlie Bell	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	23.0	15.3	7.69	0.0	15.6	-15.58
Shawn Bradley	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	21	-21	17.3	15.1	2.13	12.9	15.9	-3.00

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	43	46	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.05	5	-26	31	14.3	16.7	-2.30	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Harold Jamison	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	6.3	15.9	-9.55	16.2	15.4	0.89
Elton Brand	76	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-17	13	15.3	16.8	-1.50	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Michael Olowokandi	49	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-16	11	15.6	15.6	-0.01	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Eric Piatkowski	52	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-17	13	14.4	17.1	-2.65	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Earl Boykins	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-8	-5	14.8	15.8	-1.00	18.4	14.4	3.97
Jeff McInnis	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-6	-9	16.1	12.9	3.16	14.6	19.2	-4.57
Sean Rooks	27	28	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-9	-3	19.2	14.1	5.11	15.2	15.5	-0.20
Quentin Richardson	57	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.11	-26	5	-31	16.0	14.9	1.11	16.1	14.3	1.76
Darius Miles	53	53	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.13	-28	7	-35	15.9	15.2	0.73	15.9	14.8	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIL 101, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.6%
DET 91, MIA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%