NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	4.5 [564]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +14.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	80		Comeback	1.7 [226]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -7.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.04	-0.06	10	70%	0.16	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	86%	0.05	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerard King	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	9	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
David Robinson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	61%	0.06	5	-0.13	9	89%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	13	81%	0.16	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	49%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	32.8	18.8	28.6	2.7	32.0	145.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.0%

SAS +8.5%

SAS +16.9%

SAS +2.1%

SAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	18.3	18.2	15.8	119.0	101.3	99.6
season	15.9	16.0		101.1	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		96.2	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	21.1	18.0	17.9	18.3
POR	20.4	18.9	17.1	16.4	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Elliott	54	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.04	21	-7	28	18.9	17.0	1.89	18.7	16.8	1.95
Jaren Jackson	38	37	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	0	14	19.2	17.5	1.72	18.5	17.9	0.66
Tim Duncan	70	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-3	20	18.3	18.2	0.08	18.8	12.5	6.30
David Robinson	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	3	8	18.4	17.9	0.44	18.1	18.6	-0.49
Avery Johnson	55	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	2	10	18.1	18.7	-0.60	18.4	17.7	0.71
Steve Kerr	24	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	18.7	18.1	0.60	17.7	18.4	-0.71
Will Perdue	7	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	9	-4	21.1	18.0	3.13	23.1	17.6	5.52
Mario Elie	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	13	-12	18.3	18.3	-0.06	18.9	17.2	1.73
Antonio Daniels	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	8.7	18.7	-10.00	9.3	18.5	-9.18
Gerard King	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	12.2	18.6	-6.36	9.5	18.6	-9.13
Malik Rose	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	17	-20	18.2	18.3	-0.08	12.5	18.8	-6.30
Jerome Kersey	18	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	22	-30	16.3	18.9	-2.61	15.1	19.0	-3.88

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	12.1	18.8	-6.72	16.1	18.6	-2.46
Jermaine O'Neal	13	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-12	10	14.2	19.0	-4.80	15.3	18.8	-3.51
Damon Stoudamire	62	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-11	8	17.5	20.6	-3.16	18.1	18.9	-0.85
Walt Williams	20	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-9	4	19.8	17.6	2.19	19.4	17.9	1.49
Brian Grant	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-8	2	19.1	16.4	2.67	18.9	17.0	1.92
Jim Jackson	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-8	2	18.1	18.2	-0.04	21.3	17.1	4.20
Stacey Augmon	6	5	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-7	0	18.2	18.2	0.00	11.4	18.8	-7.36
Isaiah Rider	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	17.8	20.1	-2.29	17.8	20.8	-3.03
Arvydas Sabonis	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	19.2	16.3	2.89	17.6	19.6	-1.98
Greg Anthony	25	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-4	-6	17.9	18.3	-0.36	18.0	18.4	-0.44
Rasheed Wallace	69	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	18.8	13.9	4.88	19.1	11.4	7.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 133, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
CHA 105, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%