NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	5.5 [696]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +15.2%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.4 [480]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -11.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	7	79%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	13	42%	0.04	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	9	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	3	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	19	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	8	78%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	20	41%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	19	54%	0.06	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	18	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	70%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	15	42%	-0.03	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	32.1	15.7	23.7	1.8	27.0	124.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +48.1%

NJN -1.4%

CHA +4.6%

NJN -2.3%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.3	109.4	99.0	106.0
season	16.2	15.9		103.0	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.1	14.2	14.3	17.8	15.8
NJN	13.4	14.0	14.5	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	15.5	16.1	-0.59	14.9	13.6	1.29
Gerald Henderson	40	40	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	16.5	15.2	1.30	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Stephen Graham	31	32	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-2	14	14.8	16.3	-1.50	14.9	13.8	1.09
Tyson Chandler	35	34	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	3	4	16.5	15.4	1.05	14.6	14.0	0.63
Raymond Felton	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	16.5	14.0	2.48	13.5	16.0	-2.48
D.J. Augustin	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	7	-4	15.5	16.0	-0.50	15.0	13.5	1.50
Theo Ratliff	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	2	6	17.1	15.3	1.78	13.4	14.5	-1.02
Larry Hughes	56	56	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	12	-14	15.2	16.5	-1.30	14.4	14.0	0.36
Boris Diaw	53	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	16.1	15.5	0.59	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Nazr Mohammed	37	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	15	-20	14.3	16.7	-2.43	14.3	14.1	0.17
Stephen Jackson	49	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	13	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.24	14.0	14.4	-0.42

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-12	14	18.2	13.5	4.69	13.1	16.2	-3.14
Kris Humphries	19	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-10	10	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.3	16.1	-1.82
Yi Jianlian	74	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-8	6	14.1	14.7	-0.67	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Chris Quinn	28	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-5	0	16.4	13.3	3.08	14.1	16.5	-2.42
Josh Boone	20	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	17.4	13.4	4.09	14.5	16.2	-1.68
Devin Harris	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	13.4	16.9	-3.44	16.5	13.7	2.81
Courtney Lee	83	84	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	13.5	18.7	-5.19	16.2	12.7	3.57
Brook Lopez	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	13.4	17.9	-4.46	16.6	12.2	4.32
Terrence Williams	89	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	1	-12	14.2	14.3	-0.08	15.8	16.1	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
SAS 94, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
DAL 133, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%