NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	4.4 [954]		MVP	Ronald Murray (DET): +18.2%
Phoenix Suns	83		Comeback	1.7 [308]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -8.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.07	0.04	16	78%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	93%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	17	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	61%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	12	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	9	95%	0.22	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	18	57%	0.11	7	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	5	55%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	31.2	15.7	23.6	1.8	25.0	123.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.7%

PHX -14.1%

DET +10.0%

DET +30.0%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	18.2	13.5	15.4	115.4	91.2	104.5
season	16.8	13.8		106.1	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		105.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.3	16.3	21.0	18.6	18.2
PHX	14.0	13.7	13.3	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.22	26	-4	30	18.3	18.1	0.20	13.5	13.4	0.05
Chris Webber	73	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	2	18	18.5	17.1	1.35	13.7	12.2	1.49
Richard Hamilton	74	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	5	12	18.7	16.2	2.49	13.6	12.7	0.85
Antonio McDyess	27	28	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	12	-2	15.6	19.3	-3.76	13.8	13.3	0.48
Tayshaun Prince	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	16	-10	18.2	18.1	0.10	13.3	13.7	-0.44
Carlos Delfino	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	4	14	17.5	19.0	-1.52	12.9	14.0	-1.11
Rasheed Wallace	74	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.16	14	8	6	18.7	15.9	2.85	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Nazr Mohammed	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	19.7	18.1	1.62	8.7	13.6	-4.95
Dale Davis	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	19.7	18.1	1.62	11.7	13.5	-1.78
Jason Maxiell	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	19.7	18.1	1.62	11.7	13.5	-1.78
Chauncey Billups	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	23	-24	17.7	18.4	-0.65	14.6	13.0	1.58

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	10.0	13.8	-3.83	18.5	18.2	0.34
Pat Burke	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	10.0	13.8	-3.83	18.5	18.2	0.34
Kurt Thomas	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-21	20	14.3	13.3	1.04	15.6	18.8	-3.29
Steve Nash	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-16	10	14.1	12.5	1.57	19.0	16.9	2.15
Raja Bell	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-11	0	13.9	12.5	1.42	18.2	18.3	-0.09
Shawn Marion	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-10	-2	13.9	12.6	1.32	19.0	16.6	2.37
Boris Diaw	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-5	-12	13.1	14.1	-1.03	19.2	16.6	2.64
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-7	-8	13.8	12.1	1.67	18.4	17.5	0.83
James Jones	43	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	-3	-16	12.7	14.1	-1.43	17.1	19.2	-2.14
Leandro Barbosa	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	1	-24	13.3	13.9	-0.60	17.2	21.3	-4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.6%
TOR 94, NOK 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 89, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%