NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	4.5 [883]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +12.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.5 [281]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -14.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	14	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Gray	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	12	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	10	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.07
Christian Laettner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	13	53%	0.00	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	78%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	16	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.04	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	0.05	14	34%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.8	26.1	14.7	27.0	1.8	26.4	122.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +13.0%

ATL +11.1%

ATL +8.8%

ATL +17.6%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.6	115.1	105.9	102.5
season	16.1	15.9		105.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	16.0		100.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.6	14.3	15.8	18.3	16.5
POR	15.9	17.0	19.2	16.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-5	19	16.8	15.0	1.77	17.3	16.9	0.35
Christian Laettner	72	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	-4	17	16.7	15.4	1.24	17.5	16.0	1.51
Steven Smith	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	3	3	17.0	14.3	2.77	17.3	16.8	0.51
Ed Gray	38	36	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	1	7	16.0	16.8	-0.79	17.4	17.1	0.34
Mookie Blaylock	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	3	3	17.2	15.2	1.94	17.8	16.2	1.62
Greg Anderson	28	26	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	14.7	17.3	-2.65	16.3	17.6	-1.26
Eldridge Recasner	29	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	7	-5	15.1	17.2	-2.05	15.7	17.9	-2.23
Tyrone Corbin	55	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	4	1	17.4	14.8	2.64	17.9	15.8	2.12
Chris Crawford	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	10.5	16.8	-6.26	12.2	17.5	-5.22
Randy Livingston	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	10.5	16.8	-6.26	12.2	17.5	-5.22
Chucky Brown	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	14.6	16.6	-2.06	16.5	17.3	-0.80

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	15.6	17.4	-1.76	13.9	16.7	-2.86
Kelvin Cato	21	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-12	15	17.8	17.0	0.78	18.6	15.8	2.85
Brian Grant	50	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	17.8	16.5	1.30	17.5	15.0	2.52
Stacey Augmon	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-1	-7	17.0	17.3	-0.28	15.4	17.0	-1.64
Kenny Anderson	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	17.3	17.0	0.36	16.5	16.3	0.26
Alvin Williams	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	16.4	17.5	-1.11	16.0	16.7	-0.72
Rasheed Wallace	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	17.0	18.0	-1.00	15.9	18.0	-2.07
Gary Trent	43	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	0	-9	16.9	17.5	-0.59	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Isaiah Rider	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	17.4	16.5	0.95	16.8	15.2	1.58
Arvydas Sabonis	60	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	7	-23	17.3	16.9	0.43	16.3	16.9	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, PHX 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BKN 98, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0	95.0%
SAS 89, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%