NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	4.6 [915]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +27.9%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	1.3 [871]		LVP	Mike James (WAS): -12.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.23	0.07	0.03	15	85%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	12	45%	-0.03	4	-0.09	5	20%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	9	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	5	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	13	32%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.4	15.3	20.0	2.0	34.2	121.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.8%

ATL +7.8%

WAS -5.9%

ATL +4.4%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	112.6	102.3	106.4
season	15.8	15.9		106.7	103.5
opponent	15.2	16.1		111.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.6	17.0	14.2	17.0	16.5
WAS	15.1	16.5	18.5	16.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-8	25	16.4	17.2	-0.89	17.3	13.0	4.26
Zaza Pachulia	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-2	13	15.3	17.2	-1.90	17.0	16.4	0.61
Marvin Williams	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	16.5	16.4	0.12	16.4	17.4	-0.98
Ronald Murray	28	29	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-1	11	14.6	17.4	-2.82	17.5	16.2	1.29
Joe Johnson	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	16.5	16.6	-0.14	16.4	17.9	-1.47
Maurice Evans	21	20	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	2	5	15.5	16.8	-1.33	18.1	16.2	1.92
Mike Bibby	65	64	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	9	-9	17.4	13.6	3.81	16.6	16.7	-0.04
Josh Smith	59	61	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	13	-17	17.1	15.2	1.92	16.1	17.8	-1.69
Solomon Jones	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	18.6	16.4	2.25	12.0	16.9	-4.90
Acie Law	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	18.6	16.4	2.25	12.0	16.9	-4.90
Randolph Morris	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	18.0	16.5	1.53	0.0	16.6	-16.62
Mario West	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	18.0	16.5	1.53	11.0	16.7	-5.69

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	72	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-12	15	16.2	18.4	-2.15	17.3	13.3	3.96
Javaris Crittenton	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-9	9	15.9	17.1	-1.18	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Dominic McGuire	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-7	5	16.0	19.4	-3.45	16.6	16.1	0.42
JaVale McGee	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	16.3	17.2	-0.88	16.5	16.4	0.13
Antawn Jamison	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-5	1	16.5	17.2	-0.65	16.5	16.2	0.34
Nick Young	23	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	1	-11	18.6	15.9	2.64	16.0	16.7	-0.61
Andray Blatche	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	3	-15	17.2	15.8	1.42	16.3	16.7	-0.46
Darius Songaila	47	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	8	-25	17.6	15.5	2.07	15.8	17.3	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
OKC 122, BKN 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
UTA 112, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%