NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Excitement	6.0 [637]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +17.3%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	1.4 [981]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): -11.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Abrines	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	7	93%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	15	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Semaj Christon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	18	51%	0.12	5	-0.12	13	85%	0.03
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	5	79%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Taj Gibson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	17	46%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	15	74%	0.21	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	6	93%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	80%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
KJ McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.09	15	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.9	14.7	27.6	2.4	33.4	135.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +20.6%

BKN -11.3%

OKC +31.0%

OKC +8.7%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BKN	NBA	OKC	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	14.8	120.8	103.0	107.7
season	14.0	13.7		107.0	103.2
opponent	14.4	15.1		109.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.3	12.9	15.0	14.7	13.6
BKN	16.0	13.2	17.0	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	45	44	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	1	16	12.7	14.4	-1.68	17.0	13.2	3.85
Enes Kanter	38	38	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	4	10	12.9	14.1	-1.16	16.9	13.7	3.24
Alex Abrines	53	52	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	-5	28	14.1	13.2	0.91	15.1	14.7	0.42
Andre Roberson	40	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	5	8	13.4	13.8	-0.44	17.1	13.4	3.69
Semaj Christon	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	12	-6	14.6	13.1	1.51	13.9	15.4	-1.46
Russell Westbrook	77	77	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	11	-4	12.9	15.9	-2.93	14.4	16.4	-2.03
Doug McDermott	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	14	-10	13.1	13.9	-0.82	15.1	14.8	0.37
Victor Oladipo	69	69	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	17	-16	14.0	12.9	1.13	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Taj Gibson	49	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	15	-12	15.0	12.4	2.56	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Steven Adams	63	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	14	-10	14.1	12.9	1.16	13.7	16.9	-3.24
Jerami Grant	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	20	-22	10.4	13.9	-3.45	6.6	15.5	-8.92

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	53	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-16	14	13.2	16.7	-3.58	13.4	13.9	-0.49
KJ McDaniels	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	13.0	14.9	-1.93	23.5	13.2	10.26
Justin Hamilton	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	13.0	14.9	-1.93	23.5	13.2	10.26
Andrew Nicholson	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	13.0	14.9	-1.93	23.5	13.2	10.26
Jeremy Lin	61	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-15	12	13.6	16.8	-3.28	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	58	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-18	18	14.0	16.0	-2.05	12.6	15.0	-2.36
Brook Lopez	67	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-16	14	13.9	16.7	-2.81	12.9	14.9	-2.02
Sean Kilpatrick	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-15	12	15.7	14.8	1.00	14.3	13.5	0.76
Isaiah Whitehead	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-3	-12	14.8	15.1	-0.37	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Trevor Booker	34	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-7	-4	17.2	13.7	3.52	13.7	13.6	0.14
Quincy Acy	37	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	-1	-16	16.1	14.2	1.95	14.3	13.3	0.99
Randy Foye	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	-8	-2	16.3	13.0	3.30	13.6	13.7	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	46	48	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.04	-18	0	-18	16.8	13.2	3.63	14.0	13.4	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
LAC 99, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0	94.2%
POR 91, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%