NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	5.6 [675]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +22.7%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.2 [673]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -15.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.23	0.15	0.11	0.03	18	69%	0.27	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	16	64%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	10	72%	0.18	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	89%	0.17	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	14	52%	0.14	4	-0.09	14	79%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	12	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	18	53%	-0.03	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	28.2	16.4	32.5	2.4	35.5	141.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.7%

LAC +2.4%

LAC +18.0%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.4	107.6	98.9	104.1
season	15.6	16.1		109.0	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	15.4	17.7	15.0	15.4
IND	15.5	15.9	17.4	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	44	43	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-6	20	12.9	17.7	-4.84	17.1	14.8	2.26
Jamal Crawford	53	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-1	10	13.2	18.4	-5.25	16.8	14.7	2.10
Eric Bledsoe	25	25	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-2	12	13.3	16.2	-2.87	19.2	14.7	4.49
Blake Griffin	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	2	4	16.3	12.7	3.62	15.2	18.2	-3.07
Matt Barnes	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	13.0	18.7	-5.69	16.1	15.6	0.49
Chauncey Billups	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	6	-4	18.9	12.9	5.98	14.9	16.5	-1.63
Chris Paul	67	67	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	10	-12	16.2	13.3	2.87	14.7	19.2	-4.49
DeAndre Jordan	17	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	7	-6	16.6	15.1	1.44	16.4	15.8	0.62
Caron Butler	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	18.2	13.2	4.97	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Lamar Odom	54	53	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	13	-18	15.9	14.7	1.29	15.7	16.1	-0.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	55	54	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.41	16	-24	40	14.2	18.5	-4.30	18.2	11.4	6.76
Orlando Johnson	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	19.8	15.4	4.39	12.7	15.7	-3.04
David West	75	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-13	18	14.7	21.2	-6.48	16.1	12.4	3.68
George Hill	74	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-11	14	14.7	20.8	-6.08	16.0	13.0	3.04
Ian Mahinmi	45	45	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.79	17.7	13.2	4.45
Jeff Ayres	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	18.8	14.5	4.29	11.7	17.2	-5.46
Paul George	81	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-8	8	15.3	20.0	-4.67	15.8	12.0	3.83
D.J. Augustin	19	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	5	-18	20.2	14.8	5.44	11.9	16.5	-4.55
Tyler Hansbrough	35	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	16.5	15.5	1.05	14.1	16.2	-2.01
Danny Granger	37	37	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.11	-25	17	-42	18.8	13.9	4.84	11.8	17.8	-5.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 122, BKN 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
NOP 100, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	93.8%
WAS 110, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%