NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	6.3 [554]		MVP	Marcus Morris (PHX): +33.9%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.3 [796]		LVP	Ray McCallum (SAC): -6.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.16	0.16	-0.01	12	83%	0.37	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	77%	0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	17	49%	0.12	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Dragic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	9	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	63%	0.17	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	14	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	15	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	13	39%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.5	15.4	25.0	2.0	27.0	122.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +63.6%

SAC -1.6%

SAC -7.1%

SAC -6.8%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.1	121.1	108.2	104.2
season	14.4	14.9		103.7	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	16.0	13.9	18.9	15.1
SAC	15.4	12.3	15.5	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-7	23	13.5	18.4	-4.84	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Marcus Morris	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	16.0	13.6	2.39	13.7	16.3	-2.57
Eric Bledsoe	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	1	7	14.0	17.7	-3.76	15.0	14.1	0.89
Isaiah Thomas	57	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	5	-1	16.0	13.7	2.28	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Miles Plumlee	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	13.5	16.0	-2.54	13.6	15.6	-2.03
PJ Tucker	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	6	-3	15.4	14.3	1.07	15.8	12.8	3.02
Alex Len	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	5	-1	16.0	14.3	1.69	17.3	12.9	4.38
Goran Dragic	63	63	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	15.6	13.9	1.73	15.3	13.9	1.42
Gerald Green	22	25	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	12	-15	15.0	15.1	-0.07	13.1	15.4	-2.25
Zoran Dragic	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	27.0	14.9	12.07	11.0	14.9	-3.88
Shavlik Randolph	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	27.0	14.9	12.07	11.0	14.9	-3.88

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	19	16	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-19	29	12.2	15.4	-3.21	16.6	14.7	1.89
Omri Casspi	39	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-11	13	12.5	16.3	-3.88	15.6	14.7	0.91
Jason Thompson	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-3	-3	17.1	14.0	3.10	11.8	16.3	-4.47
Reggie Evans	61	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	16.0	12.9	3.10	15.4	14.4	0.95
Rudy Gay	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	15.5	13.3	2.25	15.3	14.4	0.85
Derrick Williams	52	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	13.4	16.4	-3.05	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Carl Landry	33	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	13.5	15.5	-1.98	13.9	15.6	-1.71
Ben McLemore	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	15.4	13.4	2.06	15.6	13.8	1.78
Darren Collison	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.5	12.9	2.63	15.1	15.0	0.07
Ray McCallum	54	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.5	15.1	-0.62	15.8	14.2	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIN 105, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHI 112, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%