NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	5.3 [748]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +17.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.5 [513]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -15.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	20	66%	0.24	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Steve Kerr	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	61%	0.00	1	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Luc Longley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	22	57%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	18	55%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Heal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	0.16	7	100%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	17	38%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	24.5	15.3	29.6	2.3	25.4	120.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.0%

CHI +5.1%

CHI +11.0%

CHI +5.3%

CHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.5	15.6	125.8	113.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		110.5	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.1		105.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	15.3	18.0	14.8	15.6
MIN	16.7	18.1	15.5	15.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	47	49	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	1	8	15.0	16.4	-1.38	16.4	16.7	-0.34
Jason Caffey	52	51	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-2	14	15.3	16.0	-0.68	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Toni Kukoc	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.04	21	-11	32	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.4	16.8	-0.33
Scottie Pippen	71	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-10	30	15.9	14.6	1.28	17.1	14.1	2.99
Michael Jordan	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.15	15	-5	20	15.8	15.1	0.69	18.0	13.1	4.90
Randy Brown	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	14	-18	15.8	15.5	0.30	13.0	18.8	-5.85
Luc Longley	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	6	-2	14.9	15.9	-1.01	18.9	15.5	3.41
Dickey Simpkins	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	21	-32	13.2	15.9	-2.68	12.0	17.0	-5.05
Dennis Rodman	60	61	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.21	7	3	4	16.5	13.7	2.83	17.1	15.4	1.67
Jud Buechler	11	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.36	-17	27	-44	14.6	15.8	-1.13	13.3	16.9	-3.65
Bill Wennington	8	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	16	-22	17.4	15.5	1.92	16.0	16.6	-0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-23	36	10.9	17.1	-6.22	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Shane Heal	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-23	36	10.9	17.1	-6.22	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Dean Garrett	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-23	36	10.9	17.1	-6.22	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Cherokee Parks	22	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-21	32	15.6	16.9	-1.26	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Stojko Vrankovic	43	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.21	-9	-1	-8	17.5	15.7	1.76	16.5	14.8	1.66
James Robinson	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-13	16	16.7	16.5	0.15	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Doug West	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	2	-14	17.1	15.6	1.48	16.4	14.1	2.35
Terry Porter	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	15.5	17.0	-1.47	16.7	15.2	1.56
Kevin Garnett	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	10	-30	16.8	15.1	1.69	16.0	14.0	1.96
Tom Gugliotta	71	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	9	-28	17.0	14.9	2.02	16.1	14.0	2.13
Stephon Marbury	62	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.27	-24	14	-38	17.3	14.8	2.55	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Sam Mitchell	42	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	3	-16	16.8	16.3	0.50	14.9	16.2	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
PHX 115, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
MIN 105, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%