NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	92		Excitement	4.5 [893]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (MIA): +10.7%
Indiana Pacers	78		Comeback	1.1 [765]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -16.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	13	58%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	14	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Keith Askins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	2	50%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	73%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	61%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.03	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	8	81%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brent Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	14	52%	-0.02	6	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	33.0	15.8	27.0	1.8	26.0	126.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +29.8%

MIA +8.3%

IND -7.2%

MIA +17.2%

MIA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.6	103.4	91.8	104.4
season	15.8	15.3		103.1	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.3		101.9	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.0	13.4	19.6	18.5	16.4
IND	17.0	16.8	15.4	17.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	70	68	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.09	24	-10	34	16.8	15.2	1.61	17.7	12.8	4.90
Jamal Mashburn	76	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.04	21	-7	28	16.9	13.7	3.20	17.2	13.3	3.90
Voshon Lenard	59	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-6	26	15.8	17.6	-1.72	17.7	14.7	2.97
P.J. Brown	56	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-2	18	16.3	16.7	-0.43	17.2	15.9	1.31
Alonzo Mourning	64	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	5	4	16.5	16.3	0.20	17.4	14.9	2.49
Keith Askins	40	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	11	-8	17.5	15.5	1.99	15.5	17.7	-2.16
Ike Austin	33	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	13	-12	15.9	16.7	-0.82	14.7	17.8	-3.05
Mark Strickland	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	13.2	16.6	-3.33	11.2	17.0	-5.70
Willie Anderson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	13.2	16.6	-3.33	11.2	17.0	-5.70
John Crotty	25	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	23	-32	17.2	16.1	1.13	15.0	17.3	-2.37
Dan Majerle	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	23	-32	13.4	17.0	-3.56	13.4	17.3	-3.89

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	35	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-18	22	15.5	17.5	-1.99	17.9	15.4	2.46
Jalen Rose	38	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-25	36	16.8	16.6	0.15	17.9	15.3	2.62
Duane Ferrell	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-16	18	15.3	16.9	-1.57	14.2	16.8	-2.52
Erick Dampier	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-19	24	12.8	17.1	-4.37	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Brent Scott	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	13.6	16.9	-3.28	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Travis Best	36	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	15.5	17.6	-2.10	17.6	15.5	2.07
Antonio Davis	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.2	15.8	1.36	16.6	16.2	0.39
Mark Jackson	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	17.6	15.5	2.10	15.5	17.6	-2.07
Rik Smits	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-5	-4	16.6	16.9	-0.29	16.4	16.6	-0.19
Dale Davis	45	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	7	-28	17.3	16.0	1.34	16.9	15.8	1.03
Derrick McKey	31	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	4	-22	16.8	16.6	0.20	15.2	17.2	-2.03
Reggie Miller	54	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.14	-27	13	-40	17.6	15.1	2.55	15.7	17.7	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.4%
ATL 104, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SEA 100, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.1%