NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	5.0 [805]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +26.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.2 [526]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (CHA): -10.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.21	0.06	0.01	11	95%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	24	60%	0.14	7	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	11	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	19%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.01	0.08	16	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	11	44%	0.01	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	30.0	14.8	24.2	1.7	27.0	122.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.5%

CHA -12.5%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +3.9%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	13.6	15.4	107.2	94.8	104.1
season	15.1	15.6		102.6	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.8	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	18.4	16.3	17.2	16.1
CHA	14.2	15.1	13.1	12.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-2	16	16.6	14.4	2.17	13.4	14.2	-0.74
Kyle Korver	85	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	16.0	16.7	-0.67	13.4	15.4	-2.06
Jeff Teague	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	16.6	14.9	1.67	13.0	15.1	-2.16
Ivan Johnson	65	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	16.8	14.6	2.18	12.4	16.1	-3.71
John Jenkins	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	5	2	15.7	16.3	-0.66	15.7	12.3	3.34
DeShawn Stevenson	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	6	0	15.5	16.6	-1.11	12.9	14.2	-1.34
Jannero Pargo	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	16.5	15.7	0.76	13.3	13.8	-0.49
Johan Petro	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	14.6	16.8	-2.18	16.1	12.4	3.71
Mike Scott	26	27	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	12	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.53	14.4	13.3	1.11
Anthony Tolliver	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	15	-18	14.5	16.2	-1.69	17.5	13.4	4.15

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	46	46	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-19	26	13.5	13.7	-0.21	16.5	15.7	0.88
Jeff Taylor	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-9	6	15.2	12.2	3.06	16.1	16.0	0.09
Hakim Warrick	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-1	-10	12.7	14.1	-1.38	15.1	16.6	-1.43
Brendan Haywood	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-6	0	16.0	11.7	4.25	14.3	17.4	-3.08
Jeff Adrien	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-13	14	14.2	12.9	1.30	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Ramon Sessions	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-11	10	14.0	12.9	1.11	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	52	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-2	-8	13.5	13.7	-0.15	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Bismack Biyombo	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	11.7	16.0	-4.25	17.6	14.0	3.52
Gerald Henderson	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	3	-18	12.3	14.3	-1.93	16.9	15.7	1.28
Kemba Walker	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	2	-16	12.9	15.3	-2.48	16.6	14.8	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
ATL 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 98, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%