NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	5.1 [772]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +17.7%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	1.3 [538]		LVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): -16.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.02	15	70%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Larry Stewart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	1	83%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	15	59%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
David Wingate	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	0.00	0.07	6	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Gary Payton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	17	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.07	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	18	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	16	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.04
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	18	40%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	8	11%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	53.3	2.4	29.3	17.7	26.4	2.5	31.3	162.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +48.7%

HOU -2.0%

HOU -4.8%

SEA +4.1%

SEA +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	17.3	15.6	117.6	108.0	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.2		103.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	16.6	14.2	18.3	16.2
HOU	15.3	15.4	19.1	19.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	79	81	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-8	22	15.7	23.7	-8.01	17.3	16.8	0.45
Gary Payton	80	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	15.8	23.2	-7.41	17.4	15.0	2.42
Shawn Kemp	59	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-11	28	14.9	19.1	-4.17	17.4	17.0	0.42
Detlef Schrempf	67	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	15.3	19.7	-4.37	17.7	15.5	2.14
Sam Perkins	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	16.5	15.4	1.08	18.3	14.7	3.55
Larry Stewart	11	12	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	1	4	13.5	16.6	-3.08	14.3	17.7	-3.39
Terry Cummings	28	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	12	-18	17.6	15.6	2.01	17.5	17.1	0.40
David Wingate	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	13	-20	20.4	14.7	5.77	16.0	17.7	-1.68
Jim McIlvaine	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	13	-20	21.1	15.6	5.53	12.9	17.8	-4.92
Eric Snow	6	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	14	-22	23.7	15.7	8.01	14.7	17.5	-2.76

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sedale Threatt	37	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.23	8	-14	22	17.5	17.0	0.50	18.5	14.6	3.94
Kevin Willis	27	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-11	16	14.3	18.6	-4.23	19.1	14.9	4.23
Eddie Johnson	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-8	10	17.2	17.3	-0.04	18.3	15.3	3.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	75	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	0	-6	18.0	12.7	5.22	16.2	16.2	0.07
Mario Elie	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	3	-12	16.9	18.7	-1.78	16.0	17.2	-1.26
Clyde Drexler	78	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	17.6	14.3	3.26	15.7	20.3	-4.60
Matt Maloney	50	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	8	-22	17.0	17.5	-0.50	14.6	18.5	-3.94
Charles Barkley	72	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	5	-16	17.6	15.6	2.00	15.1	21.5	-6.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
CLE 115, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0	94.0%
SAS 94, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0	93.8%