NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.2 [779]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +12.4%
Golden State Warriors	90		Comeback	1.1 [222]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -18.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.02	0.05	12	79%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.02	16	53%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Courtney Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	13	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.09	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.11	1	0.01	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	8	58%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.02	11	44%	-0.03	3	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	19	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.03	0.04	15	43%	-0.07	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	32.2	17.5	27.6	3.5	42.3	152.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +31.7%

MEM +1.4%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +10.5%

MEM +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	17.4	12.2	15.1	100.0	91.8	104.2
season	15.9	13.6		103.8	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.7	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	16.4	18.8	17.5	17.4
GSW	13.2	13.1	10.8	11.8	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	74	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.28	14	-7	21	17.4	17.1	0.29	12.6	10.9	1.77
Zach Randolph	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-7	21	17.0	18.3	-1.31	12.6	11.2	1.34
Courtney Lee	68	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	16.2	20.0	-3.78	12.0	12.7	-0.70
Mike Conley	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	-2	11	17.3	17.4	-0.04	13.5	10.7	2.74
Marc Gasol	64	65	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	6	-5	17.0	18.0	-1.03	12.6	11.5	1.10
Beno Udrih	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	7	-7	17.6	17.2	0.43	11.1	13.1	-1.96
Jeff Green	54	56	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	13	-19	17.8	16.7	1.09	11.4	13.3	-1.83
Kosta Koufos	21	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	17.7	17.3	0.40	12.2	12.2	0.03
Vince Carter	35	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.14	-10	17	-27	19.5	16.1	3.39	11.0	12.9	-1.92

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	29	29	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-16	25	10.4	13.0	-2.51	18.7	16.8	1.86
Shaun Livingston	24	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-11	15	12.7	12.1	0.65	19.4	16.7	2.69
Marreese Speights	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-7	7	13.4	12.1	1.35	19.3	17.1	2.19
Festus Ezeli	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-6	5	11.1	12.4	-1.27	16.0	17.5	-1.52
David Lee	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-5	3	12.3	12.2	0.07	17.6	17.3	0.28
Draymond Green	75	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.29	3	-10	13	12.3	12.1	0.17	17.8	15.6	2.21
Andre Iguodala	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	10.7	14.2	-3.42	17.3	17.4	-0.15
Harrison Barnes	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	12.1	12.4	-0.27	16.9	18.7	-1.84
Andrew Bogut	48	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	9	-25	13.8	10.7	3.09	17.1	17.5	-0.39
Stephen Curry	84	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	1	-9	12.2	12.4	-0.25	16.8	20.4	-3.60
Klay Thompson	69	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.16	-16	9	-25	13.0	10.4	2.51	16.8	18.7	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.5%
ATL 107, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 92, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%