NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	7.9 [244]		MVP	Carl Herrera (SAS): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.8 [100]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): -30.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Herrera	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	12	72%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Avery Johnson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	15	68%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.04
Vinny Del Negro	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.12	0.01	16	58%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.08
Jamie Feick	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Courtney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	58%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.31	-0.19	-0.15	-0.03	15	29%	-0.22	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	14	72%	0.23	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.07,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	17	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.07
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	10	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.08	0.05	12	50%	-0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	27.3	16.3	23.5	2.3	35.6	132.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.8%

SAS +33.2%

IND -17.1%

SAS +26.7%

IND -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.6	108.5	104.3	104.4
season	16.8	15.3		100.8	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.4		101.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.1	19.8	15.2	15.5	15.8
IND	15.7	13.0	16.1	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	82	84	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-6	16	14.7	23.5	-8.84	15.5	9.0	6.55
Vernon Maxwell	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-4	12	15.6	16.8	-1.21	14.3	17.5	-3.19
Jamie Feick	47	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	5	-6	16.8	14.7	2.09	13.9	15.7	-1.73
Vinny Del Negro	90	90	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	15.6	19.5	-3.88	14.8	16.2	-1.46
Carl Herrera	71	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	3	-2	14.4	20.2	-5.87	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Joe Courtney	6	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	-1	6	16.5	15.7	0.76	19.1	14.5	4.64
Greg Anderson	64	65	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	3	-2	16.5	14.2	2.38	15.4	13.7	1.63
Cory Alexander	31	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	19.7	13.8	5.90	14.3	15.1	-0.78

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	21	21	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-9	14	14.3	15.0	-0.67	20.0	14.6	5.36
Erick Dampier	17	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	15.6	14.7	0.90	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Jalen Rose	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-2	0	15.6	14.6	0.97	20.5	14.4	6.09
Duane Ferrell	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	6	-16	14.7	14.9	-0.21	13.5	16.9	-3.48
Dale Davis	78	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-8	12	14.3	17.7	-3.49	15.4	17.5	-2.06
Rik Smits	55	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-6	8	14.5	15.3	-0.74	17.6	13.5	4.05
Reggie Miller	83	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-6	8	14.7	16.3	-1.61	14.6	22.9	-8.28
Antonio Davis	37	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	6	-16	16.0	14.1	1.85	15.0	16.4	-1.39
Travis Best	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	15.5	14.1	1.42	16.7	14.8	1.86
Mark Jackson	77	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	3	-10	14.7	15.4	-0.68	14.7	21.1	-6.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.31,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.57,0.1,0	92.8%
IND 94, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0	92.3%
DET 95, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.02,0	92.2%