NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	9.1 [131]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +25.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	3.8 [262]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -46.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.26	-0.12	0.37	-0.01	20	34%	0.30	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.01	5	109%	0.29	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	81%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.14	-0.02	13	35%	-0.02	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	20	65%	0.27	5	-0.13	11	64%	-0.07
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	45%	0.00	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.49,-0.47	-0.47	-0.22	-0.26	-0.01	22	34%	-0.22	6	-0.25	6	50%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	33.3	16.8	26.1	2.7	44.1	149.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +66.9%

PHI -16.7%

IND +12.2%

PHI -18.0%

IND +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.6	100.0	100.0	104.4
season	16.0	15.2		102.3	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	15.6	16.9	18.6	16.1
PHI	15.0	13.8	15.9	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	65	65	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.52	8	-7	15	15.4	17.7	-2.24	14.8	14.4	0.42
Anthony Johnson	62	61	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-5	11	16.4	15.6	0.73	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Stephen Jackson	79	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	3	-5	16.2	15.5	0.76	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Sarunas Jasikevicius	32	33	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.54	-3	4	-7	15.6	16.4	-0.73	14.7	14.7	0.01
Fred Jones	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.49	-6	7	-13	16.0	16.3	-0.31	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Scot Pollard	48	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-3	7	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.5	14.9	-0.33
Jeff Foster	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	-7	15	15.0	16.6	-1.60	16.0	14.2	1.80
Danny Granger	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	2	-3	15.8	16.3	-0.49	14.9	14.5	0.43
David Harrison	59	59	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.12	-9	10	-19	17.8	13.3	4.45	14.9	14.4	0.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	8	8	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.02	5	-6	11	12.2	14.9	-2.67	19.1	15.8	3.30
Samuel Dalembert	38	37	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-5	9	15.0	14.5	0.48	19.2	14.1	5.04
Chris Webber	76	77	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	14.9	13.9	0.99	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Steven Hunter	32	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	7	-15	15.6	14.2	1.38	13.7	17.4	-3.67
Kyle Korver	60	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.54	6	-7	13	14.3	15.3	-0.95	16.4	15.5	0.97
John Salmons	46	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-5	9	14.3	15.0	-0.67	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Allen Iverson	85	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	0	-1	14.7	14.9	-0.20	16.3	13.5	2.85
Andre Iguodala	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	2	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.68	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Kevin Ollie	43	41	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.51	-8	7	-15	15.0	14.4	0.54	14.9	17.1	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.31,0.43,0.27,0	92.3%
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	92.1%
ORL 94, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.2,0.26,0.68,0.58,0	92.0%