NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	8.0 [256]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): +59.2%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.4 [780]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -12.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.55,0.59	0.28	0.35	0.03	14	87%	0.66	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	10	70%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.09	0.01	6	59%	0.14	4	-0.10	10	70%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Jimmy Butler	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	3	-0.19	4	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	78%	0.12	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.21,0.21,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	0.00	17	47%	0.15	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.04	11	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	63%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	0.00	13	61%	0.17	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	12	50%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	25.4	15.4	30.2	1.8	33.2	131.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +43.6%

CHI +14.2%

BOS -7.6%

BOS -2.0%

CHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.1	113.8	108.5	105.2
season	16.3	15.4		101.1	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	16.9	14.5	17.0	15.6
BOS	13.9	18.2	15.5	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	60	61	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	15.4	16.0	-0.55	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Joakim Noah	74	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	15.8	15.1	0.66	14.4	17.4	-2.94
Jimmy Butler	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	1	3	15.6	15.7	-0.05	14.9	17.5	-2.65
D.J. Augustin	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	16.2	14.7	1.41	15.8	13.8	2.09
Taj Gibson	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	3	-1	16.1	14.9	1.17	15.4	14.5	0.83
Mike Dunleavy	66	65	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	15.5	15.9	-0.44	15.2	14.7	0.43
Carlos Boozer	50	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	6	-7	14.4	17.0	-2.56	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Nazr Mohammed	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	4	-3	18.5	15.3	3.15	19.8	14.5	5.26
Tony Snell	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	14.6	15.7	-1.14	14.0	15.2	-1.16

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	57	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-8	11	14.8	15.4	-0.59	15.8	15.3	0.46
Kris Humphries	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.1	16.1	-1.01
Chris Johnson	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	17.0	14.3	2.74	17.7	14.8	2.92
Kelly Olynyk	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-4	3	15.8	14.6	1.23	15.9	15.4	0.50
Avery Bradley	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	15.5	14.0	1.55	17.0	12.9	4.05
Jeff Green	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-5	5	14.0	17.1	-3.14	14.7	17.3	-2.62
Jerryd Bayless	57	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.05	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Rajon Rondo	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.9	-1.09	15.2	17.4	-2.26
Jared Sullinger	53	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	3	-11	15.0	15.1	-0.14	15.7	15.5	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.57,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.31,0.43,0.27,0	92.8%
LAL 103, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.09,0	91.3%
NYK 87, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,0	91.3%