NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	6.1 [565]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +15.5%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	7.0 [233]		LVP	Chris Mills (CLE): -11.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	17	65%	0.23	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Lang	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Mills	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	12	50%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	9	87%	0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Travis Best	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	73%	0.06	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.14
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.12	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	56%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	11%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.5	16.4	28.4	2.5	40.4	141.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.6%

IND +12.8%

IND +12.5%

IND +1.8%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	17.3	17.0	15.6	105.9	114.5	104.4
season	17.8	15.3		102.1	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.1		101.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.1	16.5	17.9	17.5	17.3
IND	18.9	18.7	15.5	15.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	11	12	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	17.4	17.3	0.09	19.3	16.6	2.73
Tyrone Hill	48	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-3	1	18.3	16.0	2.32	18.2	15.4	2.85
Bob Sura	33	32	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	15.0	18.7	-3.68	16.8	17.1	-0.25
Antonio Lang	7	7	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	18.7	17.2	1.56	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Chris Mills	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	16.6	22.7	-6.02	17.3	14.1	3.18
Terrell Brandon	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-4	3	17.7	15.5	2.20	16.3	20.5	-4.21
Mark West	34	33	-0.40	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	3	-11	17.3	17.3	0.07	16.2	17.5	-1.31
Danny Ferry	70	67	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	17.7	15.3	2.37	16.6	18.7	-2.17
Bobby Phills	76	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	17.4	16.7	0.69	17.1	16.0	1.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	40	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-11	27	18.6	15.5	3.09	17.6	17.0	0.62
Dale Davis	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	3	-1	16.9	17.4	-0.48	16.9	18.6	-1.79
Jerome Allen	38	41	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.26	6	-1	7	16.1	17.8	-1.65	16.3	18.2	-1.96
Travis Best	56	58	0.41	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	16.2	18.6	-2.31	17.1	17.7	-0.67
Derrick McKey	56	56	0.37	0.12	0.25	0.31	2	3	-1	16.8	17.4	-0.66	17.3	17.3	-0.04
Duane Ferrell	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	15.7	17.7	-2.07	16.7	17.6	-0.85
Erick Dampier	9	9	0.11	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	0	5	15.1	17.2	-2.12	18.6	17.1	1.42
Jalen Rose	66	66	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	10	-15	17.8	13.8	4.07	18.0	14.8	3.14
Vincent Askew	5	5	0.01	0.48	-0.47	-0.02	1	4	-3	20.8	16.8	4.04	18.8	17.2	1.61
Eddie Johnson	14	14	-0.05	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	7	-9	19.9	16.4	3.44	14.6	17.8	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.6,0.61,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.8%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	91.8%
NOH 86, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.99,1	91.7%