inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 86 Excitement6.7 [470] MVPEric Williams (CLE): +13.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Comeback10.0 [206] LVPBaron Davis (NOH): -37.2%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Lynch0.110,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.00875%0.1100.0000%0.00
David Wesley0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.03-0.031250%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Sean Rooks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00475%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Steven Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.020.03550%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.01637%-0.072-0.04450%-0.04
P.J. Brown-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.11-0.031840%-0.082-0.094100%0.02
Baron Davis-0.370,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.26,-0.32,-0.38,-0.37,-0.37-0.15-0.24-0.022744%-0.175-0.208100%0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.090.011062%0.1300.006100%0.03
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.010.02871%0.052-0.05862%-0.03
Ira Newble0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01940%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
J.R. Bremer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01743%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001144%-0.0400.003100%0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01642%-0.041-0.02786%0.01
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01721%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.10-0.00275%0.033-0.174100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.16-0.040.012242%-0.115-0.10887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.327.915.824.42.534.3130.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH -1.2%
CLE +22.4%
CLE +17.2%
CLE +7.7%
CLE +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHCLENBANOHCLENBA
this game15.515.215.792.5102.1100.5
season16.015.799.399.8
opponent15.515.7102.399.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.314.616.616.515.5
CLE16.315.414.714.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith1818-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-9717.215.12.1716.314.91.37
Sean Rooks2727-0.17-0.330.160.04-7-4-316.015.20.7914.615.4-0.75
Robert Traylor1413-0.23-0.270.04-0.06-6-5-118.215.03.2314.815.2-0.37
P.J. Brown7982-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-6115.018.2-3.2315.214.80.37
David Wesley6062-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-2-715.216.0-0.7714.815.8-1.00
Jamaal Magloire6668-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-4-7315.216.0-0.7915.414.60.75
George Lynch6870-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-6-5-115.415.8-0.3915.813.42.40
Baron Davis7879-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.15-8-3-515.216.8-1.5815.215.2-0.10
Darrell Armstrong5556-0.41-0.10-0.31-0.17-8-3-515.715.20.5314.416.2-1.80

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams44430.65-0.150.800.2713-21513.916.2-2.3016.114.91.15
Kevin Ollie34340.62-0.120.750.2413-21513.616.0-2.3716.914.72.17
Tony Battie60580.62-0.120.740.0918-72514.416.5-2.0415.415.6-0.20
Carlos Boozer80760.420.080.340.101101114.817.3-2.4915.316.1-0.72
LeBron James80770.400.100.310.1492715.115.5-0.4314.918.4-3.58
Ira Newble51500.070.43-0.37-0.0238-516.014.21.8815.016.0-1.07
Kedrick Brown41400.060.44-0.380.03110-915.914.61.2514.915.9-1.05
J.R. Bremer3535-0.090.59-0.67-0.06-112-1316.014.71.2716.215.11.12
Jason Kapono44-0.100.60-0.700.02-415-1921.214.96.3518.215.32.90
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4648-0.160.66-0.820.08-819-2716.513.92.6215.515.40.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, CHA 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.94,0.84,192.3%
SAC 90, VAN 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.95,1,192.3%
LAC 86, POR 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,192.2%