NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	6.5 [567]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAS): +26.2%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	10.8 [479]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): -11.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	20	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05
JaKarr Sampson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nigel Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.03	17	50%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Cooley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Justin Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	17	54%	0.04	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.18	-0.00	9	67%	0.28	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.11	0.02	5	92%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	63%	0.15	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	57%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.01	19	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	14	54%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	24.4	15.3	24.6	2.5	33.5	127.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.9%

SAS +28.0%

SAS +1.1%

SAS +11.8%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	14.7	96.6	112.6	107.5
season	15.4	15.5		102.9	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		104.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.4	14.6	17.8	16.2	16.6
SAS	17.6	15.4	18.2	14.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	30	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-12	11	17.7	16.1	1.56	14.7	17.1	-2.43
Nigel Hayes	35	32	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-10	7	18.1	15.7	2.36	17.1	15.8	1.24
Bruno Caboclo	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	17.4	16.5	0.92	13.8	16.8	-2.99
Justin Jackson	61	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-9	5	16.0	18.0	-2.02	16.8	15.2	1.57
Willie Cauley-Stein	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-16	19	15.8	19.9	-4.10	16.9	13.8	3.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	44	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-8	3	16.8	16.5	0.36	17.5	15.0	2.51
Jack Cooley	17	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	3	-19	19.9	15.8	4.10	13.8	16.9	-3.05
JaKarr Sampson	37	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-8	3	16.0	17.1	-1.10	16.5	16.1	0.32
De'Aaron Fox	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-4	-5	16.0	19.1	-3.04	16.7	14.6	2.17
Buddy Hield	60	60	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.09	-22	9	-31	16.7	16.5	0.25	15.2	18.6	-3.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryn Forbes	33	35	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.11	25	-12	37	14.9	17.1	-2.20	17.3	16.2	1.03
Manu Ginobili	49	48	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.14	17	-4	21	15.8	16.9	-1.19	17.3	15.8	1.49
Rudy Gay	37	36	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-2	17	15.6	16.7	-1.09	17.5	16.1	1.41
Kyle Anderson	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	7	-1	15.6	17.1	-1.41	16.4	16.9	-0.57
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	15	-17	17.8	13.2	4.66	16.2	17.6	-1.47
Patty Mills	66	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	6	1	16.7	14.9	1.81	16.4	17.4	-0.99
Pau Gasol	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	6	1	14.7	17.4	-2.60	17.9	15.8	2.07
Dejounte Murray	27	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	15	-17	17.1	15.9	1.16	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Brandon Paul	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	17.0	16.3	0.73	19.5	16.6	2.93
Joffrey Lauvergne	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	17.0	16.3	0.73	19.5	16.6	2.93
Davis Bertans	15	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	13	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.2	17.2	-2.99
Tony Parker	34	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	13	-13	16.5	16.1	0.42	16.7	16.6	0.08
Danny Green	30	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	25	-37	17.9	15.4	2.53	15.9	17.0	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.51,0.28,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.91,1,1	93.4%
CLE 92, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	93.1%
MIN 88, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.1%