inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 131 Excitement10.7 [17] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +66.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 136 Comeback7.8 [39] LVPJimmy Butler III (GSW): -27.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.660,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.99,0.660.380.300.022686%0.783-0.124100%0.03
Moses Moody0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.160.080.090.01967%0.1600.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.00771%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.00283%0.141-0.04250%-0.00
Brandin Podziemski0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.00775%0.171-0.08250%-0.01
Quinten Post0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.06-0.01-0.02961%0.0700.0000%0.00
Pat Spencer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gui Santos-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Draymond Green-0.160,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.06-0.080.02878%0.088-0.242100%0.01
De'Anthony Melton-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.10-0.0050%-0.181-0.0200%0.00
Jimmy Butler III-0.280,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.28-0.05-0.24-0.011148%-0.223-0.051191%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerami Grant0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.5,0.510.510.180.350.022273%0.684-0.164100%0.04
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.14,0.250.250.060.220.041658%0.364-0.121392%0.11
Shaedon Sharpe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.210.210.26-0.040.011883%0.433-0.216100%0.04
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.05-0.00492%0.153-0.07475%-0.00
Sidy Cissoko0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.04-0.02650%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kris Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.00550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Caleb Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00667%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Toumani Camara0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.020.01844%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rayan Rupert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Donovan Clingan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00337%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.40.228.914.331.70.141.7142.3
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +20.2%
POR +43.6%
GSW -5.2%
GSW -8.0%
GSW -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWPORNBAGSWPORNBA
this game13.913.314.1124.8127.1113.7
season14.713.5112.4112.1
opponent13.913.6116.1110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.613.613.714.613.9
POR11.713.114.014.813.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Buddy Hield88880.13-0.630.750.072-7913.913.50.4713.213.9-0.78
Gui Santos41400.10-0.600.710.052-7914.213.70.5413.713.00.71
Pat Spencer53530.02-0.520.530.10-3-2-113.913.80.1213.213.5-0.31
Brandin Podziemski105107-0.500.00-0.50-0.35-50-513.90.013.8713.30.013.31
Jimmy Butler III105107-0.500.00-0.50-0.35-50-513.90.013.8713.30.013.31
Moses Moody8586-0.530.03-0.57-0.39-50-513.913.80.0813.313.20.15
Draymond Green8182-0.560.06-0.61-0.32-83-1114.013.50.5313.113.9-0.75
De'Anthony Melton9090-0.590.09-0.68-0.45-50-513.814.4-0.6213.512.21.28
Stephen Curry9795-0.600.10-0.71-0.34-94-1313.913.20.6713.412.70.63
Quinten Post7778-0.630.13-0.75-0.33-105-1514.312.71.5713.812.01.75
Trayce Jackson-Davis9293-0.660.16-0.82-0.34-116-1714.112.12.0413.99.54.38

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaedon Sharpe90890.61-0.110.720.407-2913.611.81.8413.714.7-1.04
Deni Avdija101990.60-0.100.710.3110-51513.59.83.6813.913.30.57
Jerami Grant1011000.60-0.100.710.407-2913.412.21.2113.716.2-2.45
Toumani Camara80810.470.030.440.3250513.612.41.1614.013.40.58
Robert Williams III8383-0.080.58-0.67-0.1114-313.612.41.2013.814.1-0.34
Rayan Rupert3536-0.110.61-0.72-0.05-27-913.713.10.6513.714.0-0.26
Sidy Cissoko9392-0.160.66-0.82-0.13-16-713.810.13.6414.112.51.60
Kris Murray6564-0.180.68-0.87-0.07-49-1313.712.70.9414.413.01.34
Caleb Love8383-0.250.75-1.00-0.10-510-1513.512.60.9313.913.90.00
Donovan Clingan7372-0.300.80-1.11-0.07-813-2114.111.72.3514.013.60.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 95, CLE 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,191.6%
WAS 103, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.58,191.3%
GSW 101, TOR 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.53,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.73,190.9%