NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	9.3 [97]		MVP	Chris Boucher (TOR): +51.4%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	6.1 [92]		LVP	Buddy Hield (GSW): -20.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.14	0.20	0.00	5	100%	0.34	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Kevon Looney	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.01	17	68%	0.20	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.03	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Gui Santos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	6	7%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
Buddy Hield	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	13	31%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.51	0.51	0.17	0.33	-0.01	9	90%	0.51	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.18	0.02	8	75%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	0.00	11	54%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	14	48%	0.02	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	21	48%	-0.05	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	25.5	15.3	28.5	2.3	30.4	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.7%

GSW -7.1%

TOR +4.2%

GSW -2.4%

TOR +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	14.4	106.3	109.5	112.6
season	14.3	14.0		112.2	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		115.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	12.8	14.5	16.7	14.7
TOR	14.8	15.5	14.9	17.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	49	49	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-9	15	14.0	15.3	-1.29	14.7	16.7	-2.06
Gui Santos	25	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	6	-15	15.8	14.3	1.54	13.3	16.4	-3.04
Kevon Looney	35	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	5	-13	15.7	14.0	1.71	16.3	15.3	1.04
Buddy Hield	64	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-9	15	14.8	14.4	0.41	16.4	14.0	2.38
Lindy Waters III	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	6	-15	15.3	14.1	1.20	16.1	15.3	0.87
Moses Moody	28	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	7	-17	14.2	14.8	-0.59	16.3	15.4	0.85
Trayce Jackson-Davis	61	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-9	15	13.8	16.1	-2.31	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Andrew Wiggins	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-7	11	14.9	14.2	0.69	15.8	15.3	0.47
Kyle Anderson	33	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-2	1	14.4	14.8	-0.37	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Stephen Curry	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-3	3	14.4	15.3	-0.90	15.9	15.0	0.87

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	70	69	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-11	25	15.1	17.2	-2.15	15.1	13.4	1.76
RJ Barrett	53	52	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.58	6	-3	9	14.9	16.6	-1.73	15.6	13.5	2.06
Scottie Barnes	81	79	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-9	21	15.4	16.9	-1.50	14.7	14.6	0.12
Ochai Agbaji	49	49	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-2	7	15.6	15.7	-0.17	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Chris Boucher	40	41	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	2	-1	16.9	14.8	2.11	15.1	14.3	0.85
Davion Mitchell	55	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	6	-9	15.2	16.2	-0.99	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Jamal Shead	34	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	1	1	15.8	15.6	0.27	14.7	14.6	0.05
Bruce Brown	26	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.10	-2	5	-7	16.4	15.4	1.01	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Gradey Dick	47	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	13	-23	15.9	15.5	0.39	13.7	15.6	-1.99
Kelly Olynyk	20	21	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	13	-23	17.7	15.1	2.66	13.2	15.1	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.53,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	92.5%
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	91.4%
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	90.7%