NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	8.6 [156]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +20.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	3.7 [356]		LVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): -25.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21	0.14	0.07	0.01	13	68%	0.21	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.08,0.14	0.23	-0.02	0.07	23	72%	0.20	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Matt Bonner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	3	37%	0.08	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22	-0.02	-0.21	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	10	10%	-0.22	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.16	0.00	13	50%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.05	0.14	-0.03	12	46%	0.17	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.15	1	0%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	16	50%	0.07	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.01	5	65%	0.03	3	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	32.0	14.8	24.2	2.6	39.7	140.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.2%

CLE +27.0%

SAS -21.7%

CLE +8.4%

CLE +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.3	101.1	101.0	106.0
season	15.9	16.1		108.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		103.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	16.0	14.7	17.8	16.2
CLE	13.0	14.6	15.3	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	54	55	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-7	12	16.0	16.6	-0.59	12.9	15.7	-2.71
Ian Mahinmi	11	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-4	6	12.3	16.8	-4.49	12.4	14.4	-1.99
Antonio McDyess	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	3	-8	16.7	16.0	0.73	16.0	13.3	2.68
DeJuan Blair	22	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	3	-8	17.1	16.0	1.18	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Malik Hairston	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-2	2	12.2	16.9	-4.74	11.6	14.5	-2.97
Keith Bogans	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	6	-14	17.5	15.3	2.16	15.7	13.0	2.67
Manu Ginobili	71	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-4	6	16.0	17.1	-1.13	14.6	12.4	2.20
Tim Duncan	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-5	8	16.5	15.7	0.79	15.0	12.4	2.59
George Hill	72	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-2	2	16.6	15.1	1.49	14.5	12.6	1.90
Matt Bonner	38	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	4	-10	16.5	16.1	0.45	13.0	14.8	-1.75
Richard Jefferson	56	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.56	2	-4	6	16.1	16.4	-0.23	13.1	15.6	-2.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	63	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-8	18	13.5	15.3	-1.83	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Mo Williams	67	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	-1	4	14.2	14.0	0.20	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Delonte West	67	65	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	13.5	15.5	-2.02	16.4	16.0	0.39
Jawad Williams	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	14.2	13.9	0.30	16.5	15.7	0.74
JJ Hickson	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	15.2	11.4	3.83	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Daniel Gibson	29	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	-1	4	13.8	14.2	-0.40	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Anthony Parker	42	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	9	-16	14.5	13.8	0.62	16.5	16.0	0.54
Jamario Moon	38	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	6	-10	12.8	15.0	-2.18	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Antawn Jamison	42	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	6	-10	14.3	13.9	0.41	16.7	15.8	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	92.5%
GSW 112, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.66,0.82,1	92.3%
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	92.3%