NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	10.1 [75]		MVP	Miles Plumlee (PHX): +27.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	7.0 [322]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -42.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27	0.03	0.19	-0.05	8	62%	0.30	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.00	13	61%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	36%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dionte Christmas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	1	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	8	44%	-0.07	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.2	-0.03	-0.16	0.01	6	50%	-0.05	2	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.05,-0.06,-0.38	0.00	-0.38	-0.00	21	51%	-0.26	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.23	0.23	-0.08	0.29	-0.02	13	37%	0.27	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	9	55%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.12	1	-0.07	9	33%	-0.21
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.11	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.43	-0.43	-0.18	-0.25	-0.01	19	30%	-0.35	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	25.1	15.4	23.7	1.0	34.6	129.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.5%

PHX -4.1%

POR +8.0%

PHX -2.1%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.1	90.8	92.8	105.2
season	14.7	15.1		107.7	109.6
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	12.6	15.5	16.3	14.5
POR	14.4	15.7	15.9	14.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	50	51	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.11	6	-7	13	14.2	14.8	-0.61	15.9	14.1	1.81
Miles Plumlee	64	63	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.19	0	-1	1	15.5	12.6	2.85	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Archie Goodwin	18	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-7	13	11.9	15.0	-3.11	17.2	14.6	2.56
Dionte Christmas	6	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	1	-3	19.0	14.2	4.82	12.0	15.2	-3.23
Markieff Morris	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-4	7	13.6	15.6	-1.98	15.9	14.0	1.87
Channing Frye	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	4	-9	13.9	15.1	-1.19	15.2	14.9	0.28
Gerald Green	51	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.4	14.6	-0.22	15.5	14.6	0.94
PJ Tucker	67	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	2	-5	15.5	12.3	3.25	14.5	16.4	-1.98
Marcus Morris	53	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	0	-1	13.3	15.9	-2.56	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Eric Bledsoe	73	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.48	-8	7	-15	15.1	12.6	2.47	14.3	17.2	-2.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	71	71	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.62	8	-7	15	14.3	17.2	-2.91	15.5	11.9	3.58
Wesley Matthews	74	74	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-5	11	14.4	17.2	-2.77	15.0	12.8	2.24
Mo Williams	61	61	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.59	0	1	-1	15.9	13.7	2.17	13.8	15.6	-1.83
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	0	1	15.0	15.4	-0.41	15.1	12.5	2.55
Nicolas Batum	61	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	3	-5	14.7	15.7	-0.96	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Thomas Robinson	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	-6	13	15.2	15.0	0.18	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Joel Freeland	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	7	-13	15.9	14.7	1.15	13.4	14.9	-1.43
Robin Lopez	56	58	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.22	-2	3	-5	15.0	15.2	-0.19	14.5	14.4	0.09
Dorell Wright	25	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.10	-7	8	-15	17.5	14.2	3.31	12.2	15.3	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 112, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.34,0.58,1	92.6%
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	92.5%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	92.3%