inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 103 Excitement9.4 [56] MVPGrant Hill (DET): +14.2%
Detroit Pistons 106 Comeback8.5 [111] LVPRod Strickland (WAS): -23.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Wallace0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.003100%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Howard0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.03-0.011562%0.124-0.08771%-0.05
Tim Legler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.012100%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Terry Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.01167%-0.011-0.03450%-0.02
Otis Thorpe-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01233%-0.011-0.052100%0.02
Tracy Murray-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.040.01945%-0.051-0.04475%0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.14,-0.14-0.01-0.120.002452%0.134-0.262100%0.01
Rod Strickland-0.240,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.24-0.02-0.22-0.011855%0.163-0.408100%0.05

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Hill0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.140.140.110.070.042172%0.284-0.142282%0.18
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.040.00350%0.0300.002100%0.02
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.020.020.010.01-0.00458%0.0200.00475%0.01
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.11,-0.02-0.020.00-0.02-0.001663%0.144-0.161471%-0.01
Mark Macon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bison Dele0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00362%-0.003-0.09250%-0.02
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.080.00350%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.050.001235%-0.081-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.734.313.832.52.343.4153.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS -37.8%
DET +44.6%
DET +11.8%
DET +32.2%
WAS -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDETNBAWASDETNBA
this game15.314.915.8108.4110.499.6
season15.516.698.8101.4
opponent16.115.997.9101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.616.013.718.615.3
DET16.415.312.515.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Davis34340.15-0.650.800.005-81314.715.5-0.8115.314.70.56
Chris Whitney2121-0.05-0.450.390.06-41-514.515.5-1.0013.215.4-2.20
Otis Thorpe3434-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-3316.014.81.1614.715.0-0.36
Calbert Cheaney4847-0.19-0.310.12-0.05-52-716.414.12.2315.514.31.14
Mitch Richmond8485-0.23-0.270.03-0.447-101715.612.33.3715.510.45.13
Tracy Murray4446-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.300-3314.815.7-0.8913.716.0-2.28
Ben Wallace4245-0.35-0.14-0.21-0.33-1-2115.515.10.4015.614.31.39
Tim Legler1716-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-52-711.116.2-5.0411.415.6-4.16
Rod Strickland7475-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.481-4515.514.51.0015.413.22.20
Juwan Howard7777-0.630.13-0.75-0.25-1310-2315.115.9-0.7814.815.2-0.31

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Hill88860.90-0.401.300.4017-143114.420.9-6.5115.512.92.61
Jud Buechler43460.62-0.120.750.6203-314.315.4-1.1814.515.9-1.37
Jerry Stackhouse79790.59-0.090.680.5903-314.914.80.1015.613.61.96
Don Reid55550.420.080.330.3330313.317.1-3.8215.015.6-0.64
Lindsey Hunter77750.350.150.190.3503-315.114.01.1315.414.80.57
Bison Dele32310.200.30-0.100.084-1516.414.12.3016.214.81.40
Mark Macon25250.080.42-0.33-0.127-41113.215.5-2.3613.815.8-2.03
Loy Vaught2526-0.020.52-0.53-0.0512-115.014.90.1314.615.5-0.88
Eric Montross1918-0.050.55-0.600.01-25-716.614.52.0915.615.20.44
Jerome Williams3734-0.591.09-1.68-0.15-1518-3317.813.14.7315.515.10.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 85, SEA 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.11,0.42,191.6%
MIL 82, ORL 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.42,191.3%
GSW 109, DAL 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.28,0.56,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.69,190.7%