NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	9.7 [112]		MVP	Quinn Cook (GSW): +17.3%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	4.4 [214]		LVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): -24.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinn Cook	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.01	10	75%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.08,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	9	44%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Derrickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.02	-0.08	-0.03	24	44%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,-0.1,-0.24	0.04	-0.31	-0.03	24	54%	-0.14	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.12	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.04
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	9	72%	0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	11	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	54%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	81%	0.17	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	45%	0.03	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.11
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	20	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.6	30.5	15.3	30.3	2.4	31.4	138.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.9%

GSW -2.7%

GSW -4.8%

DAL +4.5%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.3	107.9	110.9	109.3
season	13.4	14.7		114.5	108.5
opponent	14.1	15.0		109.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	14.3	14.2	13.8	14.1
DAL	12.3	14.5	16.5	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damion Lee	41	38	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.01	18	-21	39	13.1	14.7	-1.55	15.8	13.6	2.15
Damian Jones	45	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-10	17	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Shaun Livingston	43	44	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-11	19	14.1	14.0	0.12	13.3	15.3	-2.04
Jordan Bell	2	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-3	3	0.0	14.4	-14.35	6.0	14.5	-8.53
Marcus Derrickson	5	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	14.2	14.1	0.14	10.9	14.8	-3.88
Quinn Cook	46	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-10	17	14.1	14.1	0.03	13.2	15.6	-2.44
Andre Iguodala	59	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	9	-21	13.9	14.2	-0.29	15.2	13.4	1.79
Klay Thompson	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	2	-7	14.4	12.9	1.50	14.9	13.1	1.79
Jonas Jerebko	51	51	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	8	-19	14.4	13.8	0.57	15.6	13.3	2.35
Kevon Looney	57	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	12	-27	14.4	13.6	0.77	14.7	14.1	0.58
Kevin Durant	78	78	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.42	-13	10	-23	13.9	14.6	-0.64	13.9	16.3	-2.41

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	76	77	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.34	18	-15	33	14.0	15.7	-1.64	13.9	14.7	-0.78
Harrison Barnes	77	78	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-11	25	14.0	15.9	-1.87	14.1	14.0	0.15
DeAndre Jordan	62	64	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-12	27	14.5	14.3	0.27	14.5	13.3	1.26
Dennis Smith Jr.	60	60	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-8	19	13.6	15.6	-2.00	14.2	13.8	0.45
Dorian Finney-Smith	82	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-2	7	14.9	12.4	2.49	14.4	12.7	1.64
J.J. Barea	42	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	11	-19	15.4	13.8	1.64	13.5	14.5	-1.02
Dwight Powell	39	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	14	-25	14.3	14.5	-0.27	13.4	14.4	-0.97
Devin Harris	42	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.05	-13	16	-29	14.5	14.4	0.17	13.7	14.3	-0.53
Maxi Kleber	25	25	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.10	-16	19	-35	15.7	14.0	1.64	14.4	14.0	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.28,0.56,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.58,1	90.7%
HOU 103, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.17,0.27,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	90.4%
MEM 100, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.51,0.42,0.19,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	90.4%