NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	8.4 [217]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): +27.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	7.0 [248]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -40.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Ennis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	8	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.09	0.01	13	54%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.06	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	0.01	-0.15	0.03	11	48%	-0.12	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.22,-0.3,-0.31	-0.12	-0.19	0.00	20	32%	-0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.4	-0.21	-0.20	-0.01	16	33%	-0.17	6	-0.23	7	57%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.11	0.01	18	81%	0.36	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	7	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	11	18%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.27,-0.29	-0.29	0.02	-0.30	0.01	20	59%	0.00	6	-0.30	11	91%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	25.6	15.5	24.4	2.3	30.5	122.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.6%

OKC +12.3%

HOU -2.9%

HOU -2.1%

HOU -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.2	14.8	102.0	102.9	107.7
season	13.7	14.0		113.2	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	11.9	14.0	16.9	14.1
OKC	13.0	14.8	15.4	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	59	56	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.21	2	-4	6	14.0	14.3	-0.32	15.4	12.8	2.55
Tyler Ennis	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-5	8	14.0	14.2	-0.19	15.8	13.7	2.10
Corey Brewer	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-3	4	14.1	14.2	-0.06	15.4	13.6	1.79
Sam Dekker	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-1	0	13.6	14.5	-0.87	14.5	14.1	0.41
Eric Gordon	82	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.5	13.1	1.40
Trevor Ariza	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	14.2	14.0	0.19	13.7	15.8	-2.10
James Harden	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	14.2	14.0	0.19	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Ryan Anderson	69	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	5	-12	14.3	13.7	0.58	13.7	15.4	-1.62
Nene	42	46	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.65	-4	2	-6	14.3	14.0	0.32	12.8	15.4	-2.55

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	84	84	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.44	10	-8	18	14.5	13.2	1.29	14.2	14.1	0.11
Russell Westbrook	78	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-10	22	13.7	16.0	-2.32	14.3	13.7	0.62
Domantas Sabonis	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-9	20	14.5	13.9	0.60	14.4	13.8	0.62
Andre Roberson	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.53	2	0	2	13.7	15.2	-1.44	14.7	13.2	1.50
Steven Adams	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	14.5	13.7	0.78	14.2	14.0	0.26
Nick Collison	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	11.3	14.4	-3.16	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Enes Kanter	33	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	13.7	14.5	-0.78	14.0	14.2	-0.26
Jerami Grant	41	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	10	-18	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Alex Abrines	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	2	-2	14.4	14.2	0.20	14.9	13.8	1.12
Joffrey Lauvergne	8	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	6	-10	14.0	14.2	-0.24	10.3	14.5	-4.19
Anthony Morrow	5	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	8	-14	15.2	14.2	1.02	7.0	14.4	-7.44
Semaj Christon	30	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	14	-26	15.7	13.6	2.04	13.5	14.4	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.17,0.27,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.15,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1	90.7%
GSW 109, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.28,0.56,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.69,1	90.4%
POR 80, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.91,1	90.4%