NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	99		Excitement	1.7 [555]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +22.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	116		Comeback	1.6 [1155]		LVP	Nolan Traore (BKN): -21.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Minott	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	12	64%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Nic Claxton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	10	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.02	14	47%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Terance Mann	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Saraf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chaney Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.02
Ochai Agbaji	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Traore	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	14	32%	-0.02	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.13	0.04	13	70%	0.31	2	-0.09	11	73%	0.02
Luka Don?i?	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.04	0.03	25	73%	0.35	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bronny James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	90%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.04
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.08
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	0.0	26.2	0.0	36.9	0.0	31.4	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.9%

LAL +10.3%

BKN -0.7%

BKN -0.9%

LAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	LAL	NBA	BKN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.4	14.2	99.0	116.0	113.4
season	14.8	14.7		107.0	114.9
opponent	14.2	14.3		114.0	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.1	15.3	14.2	15.0	14.3
LAL	12.0	16.0	14.0	16.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ziaire Williams	64	64	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-20	23	13.7	15.4	-1.74	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Nic Claxton	60	59	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-18	19	13.6	15.5	-1.91	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Noah Clowney	64	62	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-18	19	14.0	15.0	-1.00	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Nolan Traore	76	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-8	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.44	14.7	13.7	1.00
Ochai Agbaji	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-10	3	13.9	15.5	-1.59	14.6	14.0	0.51
Jalen Wilson	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	-1	-15	13.7	15.3	-1.63	14.9	13.7	1.26
Josh Minott	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	-2	-13	13.8	17.1	-3.30	14.7	13.1	1.53
Ben Saraf	86	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	-2	-13	14.0	16.6	-2.69	14.6	13.2	1.41
Chaney Johnson	49	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-2	-13	14.6	14.1	0.47	15.1	13.8	1.34
Drake Powell	71	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	-2	-13	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.3	12.5	2.76
Terance Mann	83	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.21	-14	-3	-11	14.3	14.3	0.04	14.5	14.2	0.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	94	94	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.04	19	-2	21	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.4	13.8	0.53
LeBron James	88	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-3	23	15.0	10.1	4.94	14.4	13.6	0.78
Rui Hachimura	98	97	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	0	17	14.4	16.5	-2.11	14.2	18.3	-4.13
Luka Don?i?	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	14.4	0.0	14.43	14.3	0.0	14.33
Jaxson Hayes	85	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	2	13	14.7	13.1	1.53	13.8	17.1	-3.30
Jarred Vanderbilt	24	24	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	13	-9	17.7	13.4	4.26	15.7	13.9	1.76
Luke Kennard	67	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	14	-11	14.4	14.5	-0.08	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Jake LaRavia	43	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	9	-1	14.7	14.3	0.39	14.4	14.3	0.09
Deandre Ayton	55	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	17	-17	14.6	14.2	0.46	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Bronny James	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	22	-27	21.4	13.8	7.55	11.9	14.5	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.48,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 113, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.79,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.74,1	92.5%
VAN 101, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	92.3%
NYK 98, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.2%