NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	7.4 [318]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +33.0%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	1.4 [872]		LVP	Mardy Collins (NYK): -23.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renaldo Balkman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	65%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	15	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randolph Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	18	52%	0.08	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.08	0.06	10	36%	-0.14	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.25	0.10	0.02	20	73%	0.41	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.11	-0.03	21	54%	0.21	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	27%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.3	33.3	15.6	24.3	2.3	28.4	133.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.2%

IND +4.8%

NYK -11.5%

IND +26.8%

NYK -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	15.4	95.1	105.8	105.7
season	15.7	13.8		103.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.3	13.0	17.2	14.1	14.4
IND	11.6	14.7	11.6	16.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	52	53	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-15	18	13.9	14.8	-0.88	14.5	12.4	2.04
Jamal Crawford	54	54	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-11	10	14.6	14.1	0.41	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Randolph Morris	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-13	14	12.1	14.7	-2.61	13.8	13.4	0.34
Zach Randolph	62	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	15.2	13.1	2.10	12.7	14.6	-1.89
Wilson Chandler	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-4	-4	14.6	13.9	0.66	13.0	14.5	-1.48
Nate Robinson	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-6	0	14.3	14.4	-0.08	13.6	13.3	0.29
Mardy Collins	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-4	-4	15.7	13.2	2.57	14.0	13.0	0.96
Renaldo Balkman	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	14.1	14.7	-0.59	14.4	12.3	2.09
David Lee	56	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	1	-14	13.6	15.3	-1.73	13.0	14.0	-1.04
Fred Jones	53	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	3	-18	13.8	14.9	-1.13	14.0	12.9	1.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	95	92	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-3	18	13.5	12.7	0.88	14.4	13.7	0.71
Mike Dunleavy	93	91	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-3	18	13.5	12.9	0.63	14.5	13.1	1.44
Ronald Murray	65	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-2	16	14.0	12.6	1.33	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Troy Murphy	72	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-1	14	12.3	16.1	-3.74	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Marquis Daniels	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	8	-4	14.7	12.5	2.22	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Jeff Foster	57	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	7	-2	13.6	13.3	0.39	14.9	13.7	1.22
Kareem Rush	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	9	-6	10.5	13.9	-3.43	15.8	14.1	1.65
David Harrison	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	14	-16	13.3	13.5	-0.20	13.6	14.4	-0.85
Travis Diener	39	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	14	-16	12.6	14.0	-1.33	15.2	13.9	1.32
Stephen Graham	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	14	-16	17.8	13.3	4.55	12.5	14.4	-1.93
Ike Diogu	29	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	15	-18	14.3	13.1	1.16	13.6	14.7	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.96,1,0.99,1,1	93.7%
CLE 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%