NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	6.7 [505]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +30.9%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -11.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.05	-0.05	33	51%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05	1	0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	52%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	7	28%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.05
Drew Gooden	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	16	34%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.13	-0.01	16	82%	0.37	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	0.00	6	85%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.12	0.01	21	60%	0.21	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Damone Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.6	28.6	18.4	30.4	3.7	37.0	147.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +77.8%

CLE -10.6%

CLE -8.2%

CLE -11.7%

WAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	17.5	14.0	15.5	122.0	129.3	104.0
season	16.2	14.7		104.6	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		105.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	16.0	17.8	18.3	17.5
WAS	12.4	17.5	13.5	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-10	12	15.7	18.1	-2.40	14.1	14.0	0.08
Jeff McInnis	47	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	17.7	17.2	0.47	12.9	15.2	-2.22
Sasha Pavlovic	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	16.1	18.5	-2.45	15.9	12.5	3.42
Drew Gooden	63	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	17.9	16.5	1.46	13.5	15.0	-1.45
Ira Newble	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.05	-11	3	-14	18.5	16.1	2.45	12.5	15.9	-3.42
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	34	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	2	-12	19.0	16.6	2.44	14.1	14.0	0.15
Eric Snow	44	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	17.2	17.7	-0.47	15.2	12.9	2.22
Robert Traylor	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-6	4	16.9	18.7	-1.88	14.4	13.2	1.20
LeBron James	91	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	17.5	0.0	17.47	14.0	0.0	14.02

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	81	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-4	16	13.9	14.8	-0.90	18.0	13.8	4.19
Antawn Jamison	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-5	18	13.5	17.6	-4.10	17.8	15.4	2.37
Gilbert Arenas	89	88	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	13.6	26.3	-12.73	17.6	12.3	5.31
Juan Dixon	39	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	6	-4	14.6	13.6	0.94	16.1	18.6	-2.49
Brendan Haywood	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	3	2	13.8	14.6	-0.84	18.3	15.7	2.59
Etan Thomas	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	14.6	13.8	0.84	15.7	18.3	-2.59
Jared Jeffries	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	2	4	12.2	14.8	-2.55	18.5	17.0	1.54
Kwame Brown	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	14.1	14.0	0.14	17.5	17.5	0.04
Michael Ruffin	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	17.5	12.9	4.51	16.0	17.9	-1.91
Damone Brown	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	21.8	13.6	8.23	12.0	17.8	-5.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	94.1%
TOR 81, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.8%
ATL 94, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.96,1,0.99,1,1	93.6%