NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	5.8 [648]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +13.7%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.2 [993]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -19.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	16	67%	0.16	6	-0.16	8	87%	0.03
Bruno Sundov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	6	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	13	46%	-0.03	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	11	33%	-0.06	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	21	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	16	44%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.4	15.4	24.3	1.8	35.2	129.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.4%

IND +1.1%

IND +11.5%

IND +23.2%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	15.7	89.5	100.0	100.5
season	15.7	16.7		99.8	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		94.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	15.2	12.5	14.0	14.2
IND	15.0	16.7	18.3	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-9	8	16.3	13.8	2.48	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Ira Newble	59	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-8	6	14.0	14.4	-0.43	17.3	14.2	3.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	13.9	14.6	-0.62	16.9	14.8	2.09
J.R. Bremer	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-4	-2	13.5	14.8	-1.26	16.8	15.6	1.28
Kevin Ollie	51	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-6	2	14.8	13.5	1.26	15.6	16.8	-1.28
Jason Kapono	31	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-6	2	14.1	14.2	-0.17	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Darius Miles	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	14.9	13.6	1.28	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Carlos Boozer	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	3	-16	14.0	15.6	-1.61	15.5	20.2	-4.74
LeBron James	88	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	14.0	16.7	-2.74	16.0	17.9	-1.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-5	20	15.9	17.9	-2.00	14.0	15.2	-1.13
Al Harrington	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	0	10	15.9	16.7	-0.77	14.3	14.0	0.31
Anthony Johnson	42	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-3	16	14.8	17.2	-2.38	14.2	14.1	0.09
Scot Pollard	18	17	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	3	4	15.0	16.4	-1.40	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Fred Jones	29	30	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	4	2	15.5	16.4	-0.94	16.8	13.0	3.83
Jermaine O'Neal	75	75	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	16.6	14.5	2.07	13.5	16.5	-3.00
Austin Croshere	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	15.9	16.2	-0.26	15.3	14.0	1.32
Reggie Miller	60	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	10	-10	16.4	15.6	0.80	13.6	15.1	-1.57
Kenny Anderson	53	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	13	-16	17.2	14.8	2.38	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Jeff Foster	38	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	12	-14	16.8	15.7	1.18	14.1	14.2	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	94.1%