NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	5.1 [805]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +16.2%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.1 [1168]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -10.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	10	58%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	10	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	10	65%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	69%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.07	-0.04	16	45%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	11	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	13	35%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	30.2	15.8	26.1	2.5	37.3	139.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +58.1%

PHI -7.5%

PHI -21.5%

TOR +15.0%

TOR +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	18.6	18.1	15.7	107.7	119.0	100.5
season	16.2	16.8		96.7	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.8	19.0	17.7	19.7	18.6
TOR	18.2	13.9	20.2	21.5	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-11	12	17.8	18.7	-0.87	13.0	18.8	-5.80
Willie Green	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-10	10	18.1	18.7	-0.64	19.5	17.6	1.95
Zendon Hamilton	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	18.5	18.6	-0.11	17.7	18.2	-0.56
John Salmons	20	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-7	4	17.8	18.8	-1.01	22.3	16.8	5.50
Samuel Dalembert	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-8	6	17.6	19.5	-1.90	18.8	17.6	1.20
Amal McCaskill	40	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	19.5	17.6	1.90	17.6	18.8	-1.20
Glenn Robinson	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	18.1	20.0	-1.85	17.5	20.5	-3.05
Eric Snow	65	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	18.9	16.6	2.32	17.8	20.0	-2.19
Aaron McKie	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	18.2	19.9	-1.68	18.2	17.8	0.43
Kenny Thomas	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	19.4	15.7	3.75	18.1	18.2	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-5	20	18.0	18.5	-0.56	19.7	15.5	4.21
Vince Carter	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	1	8	17.9	19.6	-1.70	17.8	22.7	-4.96
Morris Peterson	43	42	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	17.9	18.5	-0.61	18.6	18.5	0.10
Chris Bosh	44	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	1	8	18.8	17.3	1.53	18.1	19.1	-1.02
Milt Palacio	24	23	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	18.4	18.0	0.40	22.0	17.1	4.83
Jalen Rose	62	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	18.1	18.2	-0.05	17.6	22.2	-4.65
Robert Archibald	22	20	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	5	0	15.0	19.3	-4.29	16.0	19.4	-3.43
Alvin Williams	47	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	19.0	16.9	2.02	18.0	19.4	-1.39
Lonny Baxter	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	13	-16	24.6	17.3	7.24	20.4	18.3	2.14
Jerome Moiso	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	13	-16	16.8	18.6	-1.73	20.7	17.8	2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.99,1	94.7%
CLE 80, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	94.5%