NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	5.1 [771]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +9.1%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.2 [1207]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -18.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	71%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	19	53%	0.00	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	-0.03	-0.04	21	37%	-0.12	4	-0.07	9	56%	-0.06

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	17	54%	0.16	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	55%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.02	10	58%	-0.01	6	-0.15	11	73%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.0	14.8	25.4	0.8	35.5	133.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.8%

HOU +5.2%

HOU +22.3%

CLE -8.6%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	17.4	15.8	15.5	93.0	110.2	101.6
season	15.1	16.3		94.6	101.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		100.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	17.5	17.8	16.3	17.4
HOU	14.7	17.6	15.8	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-13	9	19.4	16.7	2.66	14.4	16.2	-1.79
DeSagana Diop	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-16	15	18.2	17.3	0.93	16.0	15.7	0.29
Jumaine Jones	66	67	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	16.6	19.9	-3.36	16.8	12.4	4.36
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-3	-11	17.6	16.7	0.92	15.6	16.1	-0.46
Bimbo Coles	60	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	2	-21	17.1	17.9	-0.73	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Tyrone Hill	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-6	-5	17.3	17.9	-0.68	15.9	14.9	1.07
Ricky Davis	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-2	-13	17.2	18.8	-1.62	15.5	17.6	-2.09
Milt Palacio	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-5	-7	17.7	16.5	1.22	15.3	16.8	-1.49

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	81	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-2	21	15.8	14.7	1.13	17.3	18.4	-1.15
Steve Francis	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	2	13	15.4	18.9	-3.44	17.2	18.6	-1.38
Maurice Taylor	53	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	7	3	16.2	15.1	1.01	17.1	17.7	-0.58
Eddie Griffin	54	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	1	15	15.9	15.6	0.26	16.6	18.5	-1.87
Juaquin Hawkins	23	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.07	11	6	5	15.0	16.0	-1.02	16.3	17.8	-1.46
Yao Ming	33	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	16	-15	14.0	16.8	-2.80	19.0	16.4	2.59
Kenny Thomas	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	11	-5	15.9	15.5	0.39	17.4	17.3	0.08
Jason Collier	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	10	-3	16.6	15.2	1.46	17.3	17.4	-0.08
Glen Rice	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	17	-17	16.3	15.6	0.70	19.0	17.1	1.94
Moochie Norris	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	17	-17	16.9	15.5	1.43	18.5	17.1	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 85, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
NOH 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%