NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	5.6 [542]		MVP	Jason Kapono (LAL): +8.6%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.1 [448]		LVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): -14.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	92%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	29	48%	-0.02	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Bynum	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	17%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	13	41%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	23	64%	0.20	6	-0.15	13	77%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	64%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.02	11	32%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	32.1	19.5	34.5	2.8	34.3	151.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.1%

NYK +0.7%

NYK +5.7%

NYK +7.0%

NYK +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.6	88.5	96.8	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		103.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.2	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	14.7	16.0	14.2	15.1
NYK	13.4	14.7	15.3	17.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	12.9	15.3	-2.39	15.7	15.0	0.67
Andrew Goudelock	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-3	-1	14.4	15.2	-0.79	13.8	15.3	-1.54
Matt Barnes	47	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-12	17	14.9	15.2	-0.25	15.2	15.0	0.19
Jason Kapono	17	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-7	7	13.2	15.5	-2.22	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Metta World Peace	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	2	-11	17.0	14.4	2.53	13.5	15.6	-2.19
Troy Murphy	54	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-4	1	14.9	15.2	-0.31	14.3	16.1	-1.75
Derek Fisher	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	0	-7	15.4	14.8	0.63	15.4	14.8	0.54
Pau Gasol	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.6	14.2	1.42
Steve Blake	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	14.7	15.6	-0.97	15.8	14.0	1.87
Andrew Bynum	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	15.4	14.3	1.03	15.2	14.9	0.34
Kobe Bryant	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.2	14.4	0.74	15.2	14.2	1.00

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-1	9	15.2	14.8	0.32	15.4	14.0	1.42
Tyson Chandler	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	0	7	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.1	14.7	0.43
Henry Walker	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-8	23	14.9	15.5	-0.68	15.8	13.8	2.03
Iman Shumpert	51	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	7	-7	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Jared Jeffries	65	66	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	3	1	15.3	14.7	0.63	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Steve Novak	56	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	5	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.36	14.9	15.3	-0.49
Landry Fields	65	67	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	4	-1	14.7	16.0	-1.32	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Mike Bibby	22	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	15.0	15.1	-0.06	13.9	15.4	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
VAN 90, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MEM 94, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.77,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1	94.4%