NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	5.3 [787]		MVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.0 [624]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): -11.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	72%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	15	68%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.09
Mike Conley	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.05	15	58%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	7	47%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	9	38%	0.00	6	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	12	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	57%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	13	43%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.04
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.05	10	64%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.3	27.5	14.7	28.4	2.5	31.5	135.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +20.7%

DAL +15.2%

DAL +1.4%

DAL +10.6%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.2	14.7	103.3	108.4	107.5
season	15.4	15.4		103.4	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		108.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	12.8	14.7	17.4	14.7
DAL	14.4	16.6	16.6	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	43	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-10	11	13.9	15.5	-1.60	16.8	15.7	1.07
Mike Conley	66	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-15	21	13.9	16.7	-2.78	17.2	13.3	3.88
Brandan Wright	20	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-7	5	15.8	14.4	1.47	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Andrew Harrison	39	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-5	1	15.0	14.5	0.47	17.6	15.2	2.40
Tyreke Evans	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-9	9	14.5	15.0	-0.57	15.1	17.6	-2.51
Marc Gasol	71	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	14.4	15.8	-1.47	16.5	15.4	1.09
Dillon Brooks	53	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.5	15.0	-0.46	15.9	16.7	-0.84
James Ennis III	63	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	8	-25	15.7	12.4	3.34	15.6	17.7	-2.10
Mario Chalmers	49	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	8	-25	15.4	13.9	1.53	15.6	16.9	-1.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	81	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	3	3	16.8	13.0	3.79	14.7	14.9	-0.27
Nerlens Noel	39	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-2	13	17.4	15.4	2.04	15.5	14.2	1.32
Harrison Barnes	75	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	3	3	16.7	14.6	2.07	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Dennis Smith Jr.	55	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	3	3	17.1	15.1	2.00	15.3	13.9	1.37
Yogi Ferrell	56	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	9	-9	15.9	16.7	-0.87	14.7	14.7	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	0	9	15.6	16.8	-1.18	15.9	13.4	2.44
Devin Harris	22	21	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	14.3	16.8	-2.55	13.3	15.1	-1.84
J.J. Barea	40	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	6	-3	15.4	16.9	-1.48	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Dwight Powell	50	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	12	-15	15.6	16.9	-1.25	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Dorian Finney-Smith	9	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	8	-7	14.4	16.4	-1.97	13.5	14.8	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.77,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
BOS 105, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	94.0%