NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	6.5 [523]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +22.1%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	1.1 [1006]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -14.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	9	80%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	13	55%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	14	61%	0.03	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	6	56%	-0.00	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Al Harrington	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	15	50%	0.00	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.10	0.04	14	70%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	10	60%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	20%	-0.08
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	8	60%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	16	54%	0.12	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	29.4	16.4	27.5	2.5	30.2	131.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.0%

ATL -1.3%

NYK +3.0%

NYK +3.8%

NYK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.6	105.6	116.7	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		103.9	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.1	17.0	14.6	17.0	16.1
NYK	17.4	15.8	14.8	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	48	48	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-19	27	15.2	17.1	-1.87	16.6	15.4	1.20
Esteban Batista	4	3	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-14	17	12.7	16.3	-3.52	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Marvin Williams	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-12	13	15.2	17.2	-1.99	14.6	17.8	-3.24
Royal Ivey	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	16.1	16.1	-0.01	16.9	15.7	1.23
Josh Smith	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	0	-11	16.5	14.2	2.35	16.2	15.4	0.81
Al Harrington	67	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	16.0	16.5	-0.51	16.5	14.6	1.82
Tyronn Lue	34	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	0	-11	16.1	16.1	-0.09	14.2	17.3	-3.05
Zaza Pachulia	71	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	3	-17	16.7	13.9	2.72	17.0	12.4	4.60
Joe Johnson	70	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.08	-18	7	-25	16.7	14.1	2.62	15.9	16.8	-0.93

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	76	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-4	19	16.2	15.2	1.01	16.7	13.2	3.49
Eddy Curry	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	17.1	13.9	3.21	16.5	15.2	1.25
Channing Frye	43	42	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	4	3	16.2	15.9	0.27	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Jamal Crawford	59	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	7	-3	16.2	15.9	0.25	16.4	15.5	0.91
Malik Rose	24	24	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	12	-13	16.5	15.9	0.59	16.2	16.1	0.13
David Lee	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.8	17.0	-1.27
Nate Robinson	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	3	5	15.6	16.6	-0.98	15.1	17.3	-2.22
Antonio Davis	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	4	3	16.1	16.0	0.12	17.5	15.2	2.33
Qyntel Woods	5	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	11	-11	15.6	16.1	-0.49	11.7	16.4	-4.77
Maurice Taylor	35	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	12	-13	14.4	17.1	-2.77	15.8	16.3	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.96,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CLE 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	93.6%
ORL 81, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%